Russia Invades Ukraine. Again by captaincrunch

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

'They’re always moving forward' — Russian troops overrun Kupiansk

By Francis Farrell | October 28, 2025 6:08 PM

https://kyivindependent.com/russian-troops-back-in-central-kupiansk-kh
arkiv-oblasts-once-liberated-city/

"Artillery ammunition is not cheap, and it can be a waste on two or three people," he said, "so we decided not to spend money on ammunition as much, so that we would have more of it and could use it more effectively."

"In cases like this, the reconnaissance group detects the enemy's movements, and the bombers destroy the enemy for pennies."

The decision has paid off: since forming, the group has killed over 530 Russian soldiers, with more wounded, according to the commander.

Hearing the propellers of his hunter above, the soldier runs for the bushes, where the falling autumn leaves are providing less cover with every passing week.

The Russian infantryman continues scrambling through the bushes: a fatal mistake when the pilot is scanning for any sign of movement in the scratchy camera feed.

After a patient pursuit of a few minutes, the pilot locks onto his target, the payload is dropped, and the Russian soldier's journey to Kupiansk is cut short for good.

"He had his fill of apples," Mazhor said laconically as the camera zooms out and the drone returns for a battery change. One more is added to the tally that day.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 9:10 AM

Keep it real please

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Agreed SECOND, agreed.

I wonder if Second is aware that you insulted him and called me "as bad as Second" when trying to manipulate Sigs in the other thread tonight?

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=62424&mid=1
232486#1232486

Quote:
It's Jack, being Jack, as Jack has made himself: a second SECOND. A self-justified pumped-up hater, laser focused on attacking people who merely disagree.

That's both sad and funny. All SECOND has to do is go to the garden thread and he'll see what you claim is a lie. You are quoting kiki talking about you and comparing you to SECOND. And your link brings him right to that exact post.

Jack, you are a pussy and liar. Point to the guy who has a boyfriend and takes it up the ass Gilligan. Yup, we all know that.

T

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 2:51 PM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

Jack, you are a pussy and liar. Point to the guy who has a boyfriend and takes it up the ass Gilligan. Yup, we all know that.

T

6ixStringJack isn't exceptional for a semi-human. All the Trumptards I know, thousands of them, have similarly flawed minds. You can tell they are not human, but neither are Trump nor Putin.

Did you know that Putin is, once again, threatening to nuke the West because it is preventing him from raping the Ukrainians to death? Here is today's story showing how absolutely evil Putin is:

Russia Claims Poseidon Nuclear Torpedo ‘Can Disable Entire States’

By Amanda Castro | Oct 29, 2025 at 11:03 AM EDT

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-tests-poseidon-nuclear-torpedo-putin-1
0957717

6ix is #RootinForPutin, letting everyone know he is evil.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 4:29 PM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Putin's "invincible weapon" threats are an attempt at psychological pressure on the West

By Kateryna Tyshchenko | 29 October, 17:40

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/10/29/8004988/

The Centre for Countering Disinformation (CCD) under Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council (NSDC) has assessed statements by Russian leader Vladimir Putin about testing the nuclear-powered submarine complex Poseidon and the Burevestnik missile as an attempt to exert psychological pressure on the West.

Source: Centre for Countering Disinformation
https://cpd.gov.ua/international-direction/yevropa/putin-vkotre-namaga
yetsya-zalyakaty-svit-analogovnyetnoyu-zbroyeyu/

Details: The CCD drew attention to the fact that Putin's claims about new "state-of-the-art" weapons emerged immediately after the United States introduced new sanctions against Russia's Rosneft and Lukoil companies.

Quote: "Putin's scare stories about his 'invincible' weapons are an attempt to put psychological pressure on the West. Moscow is trying to intimidate Ukraine's allies, particularly the US, to slow down military assistance and force the world to accept conditions for ending the war that favour Russia.

The sanctions have cornered Putin to such an extent that he's now recalling every Soviet and Russian missile, trying to frighten the world with nuclear weapons that Russia still wouldn't be able to use."

Details: The CCD emphasised that the Kremlin's threats are a reaction to growing isolation, economic pressure, and fear of the inevitable consequences of its own aggression.

Previously: On 29 October, Putin boasted to Russian forces that Russia had conducted tests of the Poseidon underwater complex, allegedly equipped with a nuclear power unit and supposedly impossible to intercept, claiming it has "no analogues in the world".

Background:

On 26 October, Putin held a meeting with Chief of Russia's General Staff Valery Gerasimov on tests of the Burevestnik cruise missile with a nuclear power unit. He claimed the tests "once again confirmed the reliability of Russia's nuclear shield" and said that the Burevestnik is a "unique weapon that no one else in the world has".

Putin's statement on missile testing came as US President Donald Trump announced sanctions against Russian oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil. The US president also cancelled a planned meeting with Putin in Budapest.

On 23 October, the European Union approved its 19th package of sanctions against Russia.

Back in 2022, Putin had ordered that Sarmat intercontinental missiles be put on combat duty, though media outlets reported five failed launches.

Just weeks before the US presidential election, Putin amended Russia's nuclear doctrine in an attempt to intimidate the West amid discussions of authorising long-range strikes on Russian territory.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 4:32 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR, here's your chance to redeem yourself: Further update on what's really happening on the front line:

Quote:

Originally posted by THG:
They've gone nowhere. They were supposed to win the war within a week.

SIGNY:
Says who?
Not the Russians.

Do you know what the Russians want?
No, of course not, so here goes...

THGR:
Let me repeat my irrelevant points that you already responded to, SIGNY. Follow the link I provided that shows all Russia's progress since 2014. It's a video that shows the front lines shifting around. After 2022 you'll see very little advancement by the Russians. They've even lost some territory as they go back and forth with the Ukrainians.

Now, I deleted the rest of your post because the agreement was, I would respond to your video. I did that.

SIGNY:
No, you did not. You haven't even watched it.
If you had, you would have addressed and tried to refute its specific points, instead of posting a garbage piece that's wrong from start to finish.

Your word is shit, just like your formatting.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 4:42 PM

Keep it real please

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

I watched it. Lying is what you do. Now, one of my sources in Russia is talking not just about blackouts, but the Russian population asking for packages of bread with only two to four slices. What are your sources saying? too funny...

tick tock comrade

T

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 8:13 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR:
I watched it. Lying is what you do.

Yeah.
Drone videos from both sides lie.

You're an idiot.

Quote:

Now, one of my sources in Russia

He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.

When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

Quote:
T: STOP USING MY GIF!
]

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 8:18 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

You two fags still fighting the good fight?

You're the only two people in the whole fucking world who care about Ukraine.

--------------------------------------------------

For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 8:08 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Short Of Infantry But With Plenty Of Drones, Ukraine Now Fights Better On Open Ground

By David Axe | Oct 29, 2025

https://www.trenchart.us/p/short-of-infantry-but-with-plenty

Drones make cities harder to defend. Drones make open terrain easier to defend.

This new tactical truism is reshaping the battlefield as Russia’s wider war on Ukraine grinds through its 45th month.

“Cities were once the main point of Ukrainian defensive strategy,” French analyst Clément Molin explained. Think Kyiv. Bakhmut. Avdiivka. One of which held. Two of which ultimately fell after long, bloody sieges.

For nearly four years of wider war, the Ukrainians’ impulse has been to fortify the big cities—and hold them for as long as possible. That impulse may no longer be the right one.

Why? Because Russia makes up for certain technological shortfalls by deploying a lot of infantry. Ukraine makes up for a lack of manpower by deploying a lot of drones.

“The overwhelming number of Russian soldiers and the possibility to hide easily from drones inside cities” make a drone-based urban defense “more difficult,” Molin wrote.

Put simply: the Ukrainians’ main assets now work best on open terrain; the Russians’ main assets now work best in built-up areas.

“Paradoxically,” Molin wrote, “it has become easier to defend fields or villages than large cities: fewer soldiers are needed, the Russian infantry is quickly spotted and the increasingly numerous obstacles (ditches, barbed wire) sometimes prevent progress.”

Consider Pokrovsk, the ruined mining city that, for a year, has a been the locus of the fighting in eastern Ukraine. Short thousands of troops, mostly owing to desertion, Ukrainian brigades in Pokrovsk have struggled to maintain a continuous defensive line around the city’s southern edge.

There are just too many approaches to the city along which, with luck and persistence, Russian infantry can slip past Ukrainian drones and widely scattered infantry fighting positions that themselves mostly function as forward observation posts for the drone teams in the rear.

Once the Russians are in the built-up areas, they’re much safer from overhead surveillance and attack. “Russian soldiers often hide for weeks in abandoned houses, basements or high-rise buildings, waiting to go out and engage in street fighting,” Molin noted.

At that point, the Ukrainians must deploy infantry to root out the infiltrators. But the Russians outnumber the Ukrainians four or five to one in and around Pokrovsk. There are too many Russians and too few Ukrainians to prevent every Russian infiltration from becoming a lodgement.

After months of close fighting in Pokrovsk, the situation “is getting catastrophic,” Molin stressed, “since there is a large lack of infantry to track those groups and destroy them.”

Pokrovsk isn’t really a fortress in the conventional sense. Rather, it’s a zone of contested control that, for most of this year, favored the Ukrainians. “New Russian tactics”—the aforementioned infiltration—“gives good coverage but little solid control,” analyst Vitaly explained.

But Russia’s relative abundance of manpower means Russian regiments can keep sending troops into the city. Many die on the way. Others die downtown. But a few survive … and more follow.

Worse for the Ukrainians, the Russians endeavor to surround and cut off the biggest cities at the same time they’re infiltrating them. Early in a campaign, “Russian forces do not attempt to capture urban positions of Ukrainian forces,” analyst Playfra wrote. “Rather, they bypass them and get into their rear, staying there as long as possible and cutting and sabotaging supplies.”

“This eventually makes a frontal assault”—again, “infiltration” is the more accurate term—“possible and much easier than movement around the city through the fields,” Playfra added.

Encirclement and infiltration work together to slowly increase the pressure on the Ukrainian defenders of Pokrovsk or some other city. Eventually, a city becomes indefensible as Russian infiltrators accumulate and resupply becomes harder for the outnumbered Ukrainians.

By contrast, Ukrainian brigades excel at defense on open terrain, where even greatly outnumbered Ukrainian troops can deploy mines, artillery and drones to defeat large forces of Russian infantry or vehicles moving across miles of open ground.

It’s telling that the Russians have succeeded in infiltrating Pokrovsk from the south, but they’ve largely failed to defeat Ukrainian forces holding key villages north of the city—despite the Russians dropping hundreds of glide-bombs and deploying hundreds of carefully stockpiled tanks and infantry fighting vehicles.

“Fields … are easily controlled by Ukrainian drone operators, which can create kill zones where Russian advancement is virtually impossible and remains such for large amounts of time,” Playfra wrote.

As a Ukrainian retreat from Pokrovsk and other largely ruined front-line cities—Myrnohrod, Kostiantynivka and Kupiansk—becomes more likely, we may see a new defensive strategy. One where Ukrainian brigades look for wide open spaces Russian regiments must cross …

And transform those spaces into drone kill zones.

Thanks for reading Trench Art! This post is public so feel free to share it.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 8:11 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Russia threatens to nuke the West

Russian State Duma Defense Committee Deputy Chairperson Alexei Zhuravlyov said on October 29 that Russia can deliver nuclear-capable missiles to “Venezuela or Cuba,” which Zhuravlyov noted are located near Russia’s “main geopolitical adversary” – the United States.[1] Zhuravlyov said that Russia has an “entire range” of missiles at its disposal and will use “what is needed.” Zhuravlyov said that the United States is “not a friend or partner” of Russia but is an “enemy.”[2] Zhuravlyov’s threats are meant to evoke memories of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis as Russian officials have done in the past.[3]

Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to tout new Russian nuclear missiles to threaten the United States. Putin announced on October 29 that Russia tested the Poseidon nuclear-powered unmanned underwater vehicle on October 28 and touted the vehicle’s alleged speed and power.[4] Putin also recalled Russia’s recent test of the Burevestnik missile, which is similarly nuclear-powered and has similar characteristics. Putin’s announcements of even more newly tested nuclear-powered weapons defy US President Donald Trump’s call on October 27 for Putin to focus on ending the war in Ukraine, not testing missiles.[5] Putin is detailing the alleged attributes of the weapons to add weight and urgency to his nuclear threats to enact concessions from the United States on Ukraine. Putin is raising the specter of nuclear war to get Trump and European officials to concede to Russian demands that Russian forces cannot secure on the battlefield.

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive
-campaign-assessment-october-29-2025/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 8:35 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

At Least 100 Russian Officers Have Executed Their Own Comrades in Ukraine

Oct 30, 2025

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/10/30/at-least-100-russian-officer
s-have-executed-their-own-comrades-in-ukraine-vyorstka-a90987

Russian commanders have been torturing and executing their own soldiers in Ukraine since the first year of the full-scale invasion, according to an investigation by the exiled news outlet Vyorstka.

What began as punishment for disobedience or drunkenness in the trenches has evolved by late 2025 into killings over extortion disputes or personal conflicts, the report said.

Vyorstka said it collected hundreds of accounts of such executions and identified 101 Russian servicemen accused of carrying them out.

Most of the alleged perpetrators are platoon or battalion commanders and in some cases divisional officers, with an average age just over 40.

Many hold state awards, including five who have received the title Hero of Russia .

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 10:13 AM

Keep it real please

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM

You're an idiot.

Quote:

Now, one of my sources in Russia

He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.

When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

Quote:
T: STOP USING MY GIF!
]

I always say signature not GIF. The way it is here is you created a quote to insert my signature. Leave it alone. Don't even mention it. Just leave it be. I'll be coming to your garden thread now to say hello.

T

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 10:26 AM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Short Of Infantry But With Plenty Of Drones, Ukraine Now Fights Better On Open Ground

By David Axe | Oct 29, 2025

https://www.trenchart.us/p/short-of-infantry-but-with-plenty

These analysts spent a lot of words trying to justify how open fields favor Ukraine because "drones".

I struggle to understand how that is supposed to work. Let's say you have two forces dispersed on an open battlefield. It seems to me that open fields favor whichever force has the most drones, and- generally speaking- whichever force has the most munitions. And that would be Russia.

As long as Ukrainians are fleeing, they can be scouted from above and destroyed with distance weapons.

The one thing cities are GOOD for, AFA Russians are concerned, is drawing and concentrating large numbers of Ukrainian soldiers, like ants to honey, for their destruction.

And, BTW, there are still two cities left for Ukraine to defend: Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.

So after Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, Russia will definitely have to change tactics. Taking fortified areas in pincers and cutting off supply lines, bleeding out the defenders along the remaining roadway won't work. I honestly don't know what tactic will work.

Once all of the major cities are taken ... or if Zelensky and Sirsky make the intelligent decision to withdraw troops back to their side of the Dneiper before then ... Russia will have a harder time accomplishing its goal of destroying the Ukrainian army. And if Ukrainians are smart, they'll seed the fields behind their retreat with mines.

But I'm pretty sure that we won't see a thundering charge of tanks and APCs across the plains bc they're too vulnerable to drone attack.

Drones, and constant surveillance, still favor dispersed troops.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 10:40 AM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNY:
You're an idiot.

THGR:
Now, one of my sources in Russia....

SIGNY:
He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.
When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

T: STOP USING MY GIF!
]

THGR:
I always say signature not GIF. I'll be going to your site now and saying hello. Then I'll get to the fact of your post.

T: STOP USING MY SIGNATURE!

First you complain bc I put your "signature" in "my section". Now you complain bc I clearly leave your signature in "your section", adding your widdle tantrum and saving you the bother, but I'm calling it a gif. Which it is, BTW.

So I'm calling it a signature, and leaving it in "your section".
Some people just can't be pleased.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 11:10 AM

Keep it real please

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR:
I watched it. Lying is what you do.

Yeah.
Drone videos from both sides lie.

You're an idiot.

Quote:

Now, one of my sources in Russia

He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.

When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

I watched and responded to your video. Several times asshole. It's all here in this thread stupid. Shit, I've even responded to your video in another thread because you mentioned it there.

He had an anti-war blog. He had to flee Russia moron. I saw his goodbye meal video and how harrowing escaping Russia was for him. I started following him before he left.

He has a breakfast club now where Russians and Ukrainians get together and help one another. He also does his blog giving updates on what is going on. He speaks with friends, family and old colleagues within Russia every day. He posts nothing but the truth comrade. His blog is accurate. He posts things you can't dispute without posting facts. And you can't do that because he is already posting the facts. See how that works?

I was under no illusion that you would give an honest response to the electric outages in Russia and the disaster they represent. I’ve posted his blogs at different times, and you’ve never done anything but ignore them. Why would you think I’d believe you would answer facts with facts now? Of course I didn’t.

I was going to post the video anyway. And I knew you would deflect away for the point of his comments. I said you would and you did. And as planned, his video was posted. Several times now because of your fucking around; great.

Now, I can tell when you’ve arranged things, so my signature is no longer within my quote. So, I’ll tell you this again. Your garden thread is becoming useless to you. If you want to play games with me and go without the thread, I’m in.

And if you do respond to this post, you’ll do it this way lass.

I post paragraphs; complete thoughts. You pull out a sentence here and there, a sentence that now can be taken out of context. A sentence that wasn't meant to stand alone in a post, to dispute what I’ve posted which is now an incomplete thought.

Why, first because you have a lazy brain. Second, because you can’t elaborate further on a point without using propaganda to do so which doesn’t work. You’re sad.

T

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 3:49 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Shut the fuck up, Ted.

--------------------------------------------------

For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 4:43 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR:
I watched it. Lying is what you do

SIGNY:
Yeah.
Drone videos from both sides lie.

You're an idiot.

THGR:
Now, one of my sources in Russia

SIGNY:
He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.
When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

THGR:
I watched and responded to your video. Several times asshole.

Your "response" was an irrelevant propaganda piece from MSN, and the phrase "You lie".
Okie dokie!
Here's my "response" to your video :

Quote:
The GDP of the Russian Federation, according to forecasts of the Bank of Russia, will increase by 1-2% in 2025, by 0.5–1.5% in 2026, and by 1.5–2.5% in 2027. This is reported in the medium-term forecast of the Central Bank.

The growth of the Russian economy in 2024 was 4.1%, which is slightly higher than the Bank of Russia predicted in October. This is largely due to a stronger-than-expected growth in domestic demand, the Central Bank said in a statement following a meeting of the regulator's board of directors, which kept the key rate at 21%.

https://www.akm.ru/eng/news/the-central-bank-forecasts-russia-s-gdp-gr
owth-in-2025-at-1-2/

And: YOU LIE.

See how easy that is?

Quote:
THGR:
It's all here in this thread stupid. Shit, I've even responded to your video in another thread because you mentioned it there.

He had an anti-war blog. He had to flee Russia moron. I saw his goodbye meal video and how harrowing escaping Russia was for him. I started following him before he left.

He has a breakfast club now where Russians and Ukrainians get together and help one another. He also does his blog giving updates on what is going on. He speaks with friends, family and old colleagues within Russia every day. He posts nothing but the truth comrade. His blog is accurate. He posts things you can't dispute without posting facts. And you can't do that because he is already posting the facts. See how that works?

You claim he posts "facts" but where is the evidence?
Anybody can say anything, and they often do. That's what makes AI trained on LLM such garbage.

Quote:
THGR:
I was under no illusion that you would give an honest response to the electric outages in Russia and the disaster they represent. I’ve posted his blogs at different times, and you’ve never done anything but ignore them. Why would you think I’d believe you would answer facts with facts now? Of course I didn’t.

I was going to post the video anyway. And I knew you would deflect away for the point of his comments. I said you would and you did. And as planned, his video was posted. Several times now because of your fucking around; great.

Now, I can tell when you’ve arranged things, so my signature is no longer within my quote. So, I’ll tell you this again. Your garden thread is becoming useless to you. If you want to play games with me and go without the thread, I’m in.

Did it ever occur to you that all you're allowing me to do is demonstrate that you're a sensitive prick who can dish it out but can't take it?
And that you look like a stupid jerk every time you post crap into the Rain!! thread?
And that you're destroying your credibility every time you do that?

Quote:
And if you do respond to this post, you’ll do it this way lass.

I post paragraphs; complete thoughts. You pull out a sentence here and there, a sentence that now can be taken out of context. A sentence that wasn't meant to stand alone in a post, to dispute what I’ve posted which is now an incomplete thought.

If you start out with the wrong premise, the rest of your post is also wrong, no matter how many words that follow. I do read your entire posts, but there's no sense in responding to every (wrong) point that follows the first wrong point.
And since you often let cartoon and videos do your talking for you... which are sheer opinion, no facts and no logic.... what is there to respond to?

Quote:
THGR:
Why, first because you have a lazy brain. Second, because you can’t elaborate further on a point without using propaganda to do so which doesn’t work. You’re sad.

Says the guy who thinks in cartoons and name- calling!
So ... whatever.

Quote:
T

Oh, BTW ... I did watch that part of the video about blackouts in Russia.
What was he saying?
That maintenance is being done too late in the year?
So what?
As long as the juice comes back on as scheduled, what's the problem?
And, what does he point to as "evidence“?
Newspaper articles, from "local papers", written in English???
Seriously, dood, where's your critical thinking?
Nowhere.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 4:49 PM

Keep it real please

And you responded exactly as I said you would. You don't like political cartoons. So what...

T

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 4:56 PM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

And you responded exactly as I said you would. You don't like political cartoons. So what...

T

Oh, BTW ... I did watch that part of the video about blackouts in Russia.
What was he saying?
That maintenance is being done too late in the year?
So what?
As long as the juice comes back on as scheduled, what's the problem?

WHERE IS THE 'CRISIS LIKE NEVER SEEN BEFORE'?

And, what does he point to as "evidence“?
Newspaper articles, from "local papers", written in English???
Seriously, dood, where's your critical thinking?
Nowhere.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:11 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Pokrovsk is falling. Ukraine’s northern defense line is rising.

Pokrovsk’s fall appears imminent as more Russians slip into the city. But north of Pokrovsk, a new defensive line is taking shape.

By David Axe | 30/10/2025

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/10/30/pokrovsk-will-fall/

"The fall of Pokrovsk appears inevitable," the pro-Ukraine Conflict Intelligence Team warned.

But Ukrainian victories north of the city should temper any dooming. Pokrovsk is likely to fall, and soon. But Ukrainian brigades may be able to establish a new and stronger defensive line north of the city.

The end is coming for Pokrovsk. How soon is unclear.

"I believe the Pokrovsk battle is not over," Molin wrote. "It could last additional months. Everything will depend on what the leadership will do. Leave the city or fight for it."

Fighting for it could endanger the last few troops in the garrison, who may have to beat a hasty retreat as urban positions finally—and suddenly—become untenable. An orderly retreat could reposition Ukraine's precious manpower behind a new defensive along the open ground north of Pokrovsk.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:23 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

The Ranged War Is Still In Early Stages

By Phillips P. Obrien | Oct 30, 2025

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-ranged-war-is-still-in-an-e
arly

Hello All,

I am going to start this piece with a little historical comparison. When do you think the strategic bombing of Germany first became serious? The answer is the summer of 1943. It was at that point that the Combined Bomber Offensive kicked into high gear, with operations such as the British attacks on Hamburg (Operation Gomorrah—July 1943) and the first mass US attacks on German ball-bearing and aircraft production (Schweinfurt and Regensburg—August 1943).

This was almost 4 years after World War II started in Europe. And yet, even then British and American planners had only an incomplete understanding of how to use strategic air power and still lacked the technology and needed mass to disassemble the German war economy. It would take almost another year until the British and Americans had the tools and doctrine needed to make the strategic bombing campaign truly effective. Between the Summer of 1943 and 1944 there were important advances in technology (Mustang-ranged fighters), production (US/UK aircraft were turned out in greater mass), and tactics (the focus on attacking fuel and transport) that needed to happen before strategic air power became extremely effective.

I say this because we are arguably at close to identical hazy stage of understanding about how the strategic bombing campaign/ranged war between Russia and Ukraine is really going to work out. We are only three years and eight months after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine was launched (which in World War II equivalence would be April/May 1943) and the echoes between what is happening now and what happened then is striking.

Many things will occur in the next year in terms of technology, production and mass that will make the strategic air power war between Russia and Ukraine far more destructive and potentially telling than what we are seeing now. We are not in the middle of the strategic air war, we are nearer its beginning, and many assumptions about where the war is heading will have to be rewritten over the coming months. I thought it would be useful if I wrote about how all three of these categories could/will change in the near future and how these changes could change the course of the war.

It is important that people realize that we are not in some steady state strategic air war, but in a highly dynamic one which could actually break either way. That is why articles that claim that the war is in a deadlock simply do not understand this (or any war). They must be challenged.

Here are three ways change is coming—with a World War II comparator to start each section.

In 1942 the US produced 47,836 aircraft, in 1944 they had more than doubled this to 96,318. What this meant was that the number of aircraft used in raids over Germany in 1944 went up by a factor of many times compared even to 1943. This increase in US mass meant far more US bombers reached their targets.

We are still a long way from witnessing peak production from either the Ukrainians and Russians. Indeed, Ukrainian mass production on ranged system still has a ways to reach anything like a production ceiling and Russia has scope for increases as well (particularly if Chinese components keep coming into Russia in the depressingly high rate that they are).

As both sides have the capability of increasing their ranged weapons production, the raids that we are seeing now could soon seem small. Russian raids have risen steadily in number of units over the course of 2025.

Raids that looked large in February 2025 would be light attacks today. The situation could be the same in February 2026.

Ukrainian ranged production will probably never match these kind of raw Russian numbers, but the Ukrainians have scope for large increases. The Ukrainians are investing more and more into making their own ranged systems and the hope is that they will start coming off the production lines in larger numbers. While it does seem that this process is taking longer than hoped (it is unlikely that FP-5 Flamingos are being manufactured at the hoped for rate of 7 per day which was the intended target by now) there are signs of larger and more effective Ukrainian raids.

So we can assume that raids will get larger and more destructive as the mass of units involves goes up for each side. Even with high interception rates, if attacking numbers go up, hits go up and destruction can multiply in impact.

In 1943 neither the British nor the Americans could effectively protect their bombers for that far into Germany, which led the British to concentrate on night bombing (which was of limited accuracy) and the US to try and have un-escorted bombers attack during the day (which led to catastrophically high American losses). In 1944 the allies were able, through the introduction of the technologically advanced long-range Mustang P-51 fighter, to escort their bombers over more than half of Germany, which led to far more effective raids and far greater German losses.

The Flamingo itself might be the most obvious example of the kind of technological change that can alter the course of a strategic air war, but it certainly is not alone. Remember at the start of the war the Russians did not have a single Shahed drone, now they are reportedly making around 30,000 a month. The Ukrainians barely had a drone themselves at the same time, now they have strike forces that can damage Russian refineries thousands of kilometres from Ukraine. So we have seen not only increases in mass, but increases in capabilities over the course of the war to this point.

That will continue. The key kinds of developments will be around issues such as range, survivability, accuracy and payload—and it's hard to guess which are the most likely in the short term. The Russians have upgraded the Shaheds in a number of such areas, and their version, the Geran, is a far more effective system than the Iranian one—with the possibility of greater improvement still. Just last month there were reports that the Russians have a jet-powered Geran in operation. That faster version should improve Russian survivability and effectiveness as it will be more difficult to intercept.

For the Ukrainians the areas of improvement will probably be accuracy and payload. They certainly need accurate systems as they seem intent on going after economic targets that require precision, and payload is key in making sure that the accuracy can be effectively translated into the destruction of (or at least heavy damage to) the intended targets.

On the flip side—one or the other combatants could make a technological step change in air-defense technology, that would be telling. The Ukrainians are working hard to come up with a cost effective air defense system to deal with the mass of Gerans they are facing, and there have been a number of promising developments.

All I can say is that this technological struggle is ongoing and can evolve very quickly. The one thing I can assure you is that it is the opposite of a steady state.

In 1943 the British concentrated on attacking German cities and the US focussed on specific industrial targets such as ball-bearings and aircraft production. Both were of limited strategic value. In 1944 the British and Americans changed their tactics and put much more effort into attacking German fuel production and railway transport—with far greater strategic impact. This tactical change crippled the German war effort.

As mass and technology adapt, what states can do with their new equipment also can change—sometimes shockingly quickly. We have seen a number of major changes in air power tactics in 2025 already and we are probably poised to see many more. As I pointed out in this piece on October 5, Russian tactics are broadening and, sadly, becoming more effective as instead of relying on terror attacks, they seem to be more systematically targeting Ukrainian power generation and production.

The Russians are picking out specific targets to be hit by their faster missiles, often with some success. This tactical change is having an impact. Last Autumn/Winter the Ukrainians mostly came through Russian attacks with limited blackouts. This year the situation already seems more dangerous. The mass Russian attacks last night, for instance, have led to blackouts at places across the country.

The Ukrainians are likewise trying to be more and more effective in their tactics. They are not just attacking Russian refineries now, they are going more obviously for the distillation units. And they are also broadening their targeting to include power transfer and rail links. If they can secure mass and technological advantages in these attacks—watch out.

And of course tactical changes are not just about targeting—they are about how the systems are organized to attack the systems they have been targeted. Again, in recent months both sides have shown some tactical improvement. The Russians have experimented with numbers/pairings of drones and whether it is more effective to attack from high altitude or low. The Ukrainians have not only launched fascinating operations such as Spiderweb, they are clearly experimenting in the best way possible to approach targets while avoiding Russian air defenses. The number of direct hits on distillation units show tactical adaptation. The Ukrainians are also varying their tactics with the large number of attacks that seem to be having an impact on Russian targets in Crimea.

This tactical struggle will continue.

So the strategic air war overall is anything but in a steady state. It is transforming before our eyes, and will continue to do so. Odds are it becomes increasingly sophisticated, deadly and destructive on both sides—as new systems are created and adapted and produced in mass, while tactical understanding evolves. It's why the strategic air war represents the most unstable and possibly determinative part of the war this winter.

Anyone who says the war is in a stalemate does not understand what is about to happen.

Thanks for reading Phillips’s Newsletter! This post is public so feel free to share it.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:32 AM

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by second:

The Ranged War Is Still In Early Stages

By Phillips P. Obrien | Oct 30, 2025

Ukraine strikes major Russian energy infrastructure in multiple regions, officials, media report

By Abbey Fenbert | October 31, 2025 6:51 am

https://kyivindependent.com/drone-strike-damages-thermal-power-plant-i
n-russias-oryol-oblast-governor-says/

Energy facilities in Russia's Oryol, Vladimir, and Yaroslavl oblasts were attacked overnight on Oct. 31, according to Russian officials and Telegram channels.

The attacks reportedly targeted the Oryol thermal power plant (TPP), the region's largest generating source of electricity and heat; the Vladimir electrical substation, a critical Russian energy hub; and the Novo-Yaroslavsky oil refinery, the largest refinery in northern Russia.

Residents of the city of Oryol reported explosions during the night, the Russian opposition news channel Astra reported. Surveillance footage captured the attack on the plant, showing a large blast.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 12:06 PM