REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

new deadly human-to-human-transmissible coronavirus emerges out of China

POSTED BY: 1KIKI
UPDATED: Thursday, September 5, 2024 19:55
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PAGE 45 of 57

Thursday, September 10, 2020 3:12 PM

CAPTAINCRUNCH

... stay crunchy...


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Go fuck yourself if you're trying to tell everyone that you don't have any bad and unhealthy habits.

I enjoy smoking. I don't particularly enjoy the idea of injecting a Chinese/Russian/US collaboration approved by Bill Gates and the CDC into my veins.

I know exactly what I'm inhaling.




lol - you know what you're inhaling? No you don't and you wouldn't care if you did. But I don't blame you if you won't take anything with Trump's ok or name on it. His water would probably kill you.

You got me on the bad habit though - my worst habit is I reply to your stupid sh*t.

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 4:45 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIX: I don't particularly enjoy the idea of injecting a Chinese/Russian/US collaboration approved by Bill Gates and the CDC into my veins.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

If you really think that Russia and the USA are collaborating on anything then you need to dial back your conspiracy theories by... a whole lot.

I thought it was pretty ludicrous of you to post that ALL of the world governments were "colluding" to create a Covid hoax, but I let it go because it's possible to think that most governments - while not colluding - might have the same interest in an authoritarian response, leading to similar behaviors even if not cooperating directly.

But at this point, SIX, you're sounding as nutty as Pirate News with his Templar-Jewish-Communist-BritishRoyal-Nazi-Mason-whathaveyou conspiracy, where he lumps them all together even tho they had competing interests.

Come in from the dark side, SIX, and into the light of day!

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 4:58 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


I heard that there were 7 deaths among all of the United States Armed Forces.

That would seem an interesting subset to look at.

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 5:07 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
By sheer numbers, Portland doesn't come close to the 400,000+ person Sturgis superspreader event, which was followed by sharp outbreaks in both N (150/M -> 350/M) and S (100/M -> 400/M) Dakota.

400k people in 10 days vs. 100 days of Portland.
Portland rioters were known to be 1,000 per night, and they seemed to roam around to Seattle, Kenosha, wherever, and so they likely rotated through the crowds. Can't be surprised if they had 40k different individual participant rioters. That really seems like a superspreader event tome, more so than a 10 day party in the hinterlands.

And the population of Portland is almost 600k all on it's own.

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 5:25 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Maybe you could dig thru the internet and come up with more solid numbers, and pursue this on your own.

But even if there were 40k professional and dedicated amateur rioters 'roaming' through the US - and I seriously doubt it's even 1k - your assumed 40k is still only a tenth of Sturgis.

And you have to remember this about Sturgis, people make a point of coming from all over the country to get together there and mingle in the same place and at the same time ... and then going back home.

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 5:41 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Signy, if you have good info on the Russian vaccine I'd appreciate it. I've truly not been following it because I assume pretty much all the news is fake and geared toward proving "Russia = bad" no matter what the facts are.

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 6:34 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


of note for Signy and me


The coronavirus may have reached Los Angeles even before China announced its outbreak

Researchers from UCLA and their colleagues at the University of Washington documented an unmistakable uptick in patients seeking treatment for coughs. The increase began the week of Dec. 22, 2019, and persisted through the end of February.

The researchers didn’t conduct any diagnostic tests, so they can’t say with certainty when doctors first encountered anyone infected with the virus that came to be known as SARS-CoV-2. But if the coronavirus had indeed been spreading under the radar since around Christmas, the pattern of patient visits to UCLA facilities would have looked a lot like what actually happened, they wrote in a study published Thursday in the Journal of Medical Internet Research.

https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-may-reached-los-angeles-144529852.h
tml

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 8:49 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by captaincrunch:

You got me on the bad habit though - my worst habit is I reply to your stupid sh*t.



Who knows...

Maybe one day it might kill you.



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, September 10, 2020 8:52 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

SIX: I don't particularly enjoy the idea of injecting a Chinese/Russian/US collaboration approved by Bill Gates and the CDC into my veins.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

If you really think that Russia and the USA are collaborating on anything then you need to dial back your conspiracy theories by... a whole lot.



Why is that?

So what that Trump and Putin seem to get along fine. There's nothing wrong with the US and Russia getting along. Especially when China is a much greater threat that our legacy media just finds it impossible to say anything negative about.

Overpopulation is the world's biggest problem today, which is also something that nobody ever wants to talk about either. It is also a problem that effects every single person on the planet, no matter their race, sex, nationality, religion or the political makeup of their country.

Trust me, there are people with a lot of money and power that talk about it every day. And there is zero doubt that controlling said population is one of the most important agendas on all of their dockets.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, September 11, 2020 1:27 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


So, I have a lot of info about SARS-CoV-2 and I thought I'd recap it here, starting with 'origins'.

After a brief flurry of speculation and some rather (apparently) hurried analysis pinning the virus on bats with it then passaging through pangolins - with some sideways discussions about laboratory origins - the whole topic died down into a mumble of maybes that seem to have faded away.

As far as I can tell, there is STILL no definitive answer! but this paper does a pretty good takedown of early results.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/cla.12425

It faults most of the research for looking at very few samples from a very limited number of sources (47 human, 2 bat, 1 pangolin). For example, only 1 sample of SARS-CoV-2 was isolated from a sick and captive pangolin at the Wuhan market - and there was no indication whether the humans got sick from the pangolin, or the other way around!

It faults research that looks for overall similarity between viruses, when that similarity may be due to an extremely stable 'template' that's survived a lot of evolutionary pressure over a long time and many species.

And it faults research that focuses on the ACE-2 receptor, which is medically important, but ignores what might be vital differences that are NOT part of that binding function.

There are other points it makes very clearly and cogently.


This paper, while more limited, makes some of the same points: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/jmv.26261

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Friday, September 11, 2020 1:36 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Honestly, how are we supposed to trust anything anybody ever says about the origin of COVID?

The Chinese have been lying about everything from the start and continue to do so with their flat out lies on number of positive cases and deaths.

But that should come as no surprise to anybody since we all know for a fact that the Chinese government controls all of the businesses and so-called media there. The Chinese media is nothing but an arm of the Communist dictatorship of China.


What should be worrisome is that the CDC, the WHO and Johns Hopkins go along with and post those lies for the world to see when they're adding up the so-called numbers. And OUR OWN legacy media, for the most part, is also an accomplice to this lie as well.




Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, September 11, 2020 1:58 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Fortunately, genetic analysis can be, has been, and is, being carried out all over the globe. Unfortunately, a quick update through google scholar (sort by date) doesn't show many recent publications.

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Friday, September 11, 2020 11:55 AM

CAPTAINCRUNCH

... stay crunchy...


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by captaincrunch:

You got me on the bad habit though - my worst habit is I reply to your stupid sh*t.



Who knows...

Maybe one day it might kill you.






My money is on you killing yourself first:

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Friday, September 11, 2020 12:41 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIX: I don't particularly enjoy the idea of injecting a Chinese/Russian/US collaboration approved by Bill Gates and the CDC into my veins.

SIGNY: If you really think that Russia and the USA are collaborating on anything then you need to dial back your conspiracy theories by... a whole lot.

SIX: Why is that?

So what that Trump and Putin seem to get along fine. There's nothing wrong with the US and Russia getting along.

Nope, nothing wrong with the idea, as long as our interests aren't crossed. BUT with all of the warhawks and neocons IN BOTH PARTIES infesting our spook agencies, Congress, and the State Depatment... evey single one of them trying to bring down Trump on anything, including a revival of RUSSIA!RUSSIA! the chance of actual collaboration with Russia in ANYTHING is nil.

Quote:

Especially when China is a much greater threat that our legacy media just finds it impossible to say anything negative about.
China is an economic threat, not a military one ... unless we make it so. And however our economy was damaged and jonbs lost in our bonding with China, we did it to ourselves. Or, at least, our own political and corporate elites did it to us. Joining a the hip with China has been a bipartisan project since Nixon, including Bush1, Clinton, Bush2, and Obama. Nobody forced our industries to rush over to take advantage of cheap Chinese labor.

Quote:

Overpopulation is the world's biggest problem today, which is also something that nobody ever wants to talk about either. It is also a problem that effects every single person on the planet, no matter their race, sex, nationality, religion or the political makeup of their country.
Russia doesnot see either global warming OR overpopuation as THEIR problem. They have vast wide-open territory that could prolly use a little warming. As long as they can control the influx of people from other areas, WTF do THEY care?

Quote:

Trust me, there are people with a lot of money and power that talk about it every day. And there is zero doubt that controlling said population is one of the most important agendas on all of their dockets.
Putin has more-or-less taken Russian oligarchs out of Russian politics, and in any case I don't think that Russian oligarchs have that same concern.

IMHO this concern among the eites about overpopulation is purely a Chinese and western phenomenon... Soros, Gates, Lagarde etc. And China has already stablized its population with its one-child policy. And if our elites were that concerned about overpopulation, how does locking down economies reduce population? I see it more as a power grab ... and btw a step towards "the great [financial] reset" that some people claim is coming ... not a step towards population reduction.

But I think this all belongs in another thread.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Friday, September 11, 2020 1:56 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Maybe you could dig thru the internet and come up with more solid numbers, and pursue this on your own.

But even if there were 40k professional and dedicated amateur rioters 'roaming' through the US - and I seriously doubt it's even 1k - your assumed 40k is still only a tenth of Sturgis.

And you have to remember this about Sturgis, people make a point of coming from all over the country to get together there and mingle in the same place and at the same time ... and then going back home.

Let's see. 400k x 10 days = 4M person-days. 40k x 100 days = 4M person-days.
My gosh, you are so correct, those are widely disparate numbers!!
Comparing 4M person-days to 4M person-days is just preposterous, unthinkable!!

I used the 1,000 persons per night figure which was reported by the Rioter's propaganda reporters on the scene. Are you suggesting they are lying? I have heard no other reports to refute their validity.

Traveling from Portland to Kenosha, Miami, NYC, LA, Seattle, Chicago, Austin, St. Louis - that does kinda seem like "across the USA" to me>

You may have heard that Milwaukee is The Home of Harley-Davidson. So yes, I do know about Sturgis.


That must be some incredible spike in cases in Portland that you are trying to deny.

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Friday, September 11, 2020 1:59 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
of note for Signy and me


The coronavirus may have reached Los Angeles even before China announced its outbreak

Researchers from UCLA and their colleagues at the University of Washington documented an unmistakable uptick in patients seeking treatment for coughs. The increase began the week of Dec. 22, 2019, and persisted through the end of February.

The researchers didn’t conduct any diagnostic tests, so they can’t say with certainty when doctors first encountered anyone infected with the virus that came to be known as SARS-CoV-2. But if the coronavirus had indeed been spreading under the radar since around Christmas, the pattern of patient visits to UCLA facilities would have looked a lot like what actually happened, they wrote in a study published Thursday in the Journal of Medical Internet Research.

https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-may-reached-los-angeles-144529852.h
tml

I had thought all reasonable folk had understood that Wuhan Virus was in SoCal before November.

Are you saying you didn't get the news, or are you denying it? Or not infusing your link with known data?

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Sunday, September 13, 2020 5:02 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


It stands to reason that mask-wearing would reduce the viral load if people were exposed to the virus, and with a smaller initial inoculum people would become less ill. It works that way for other communicable diseases, so why not SARS-Cov2?

Up until now, tho, there haven't been any studies. Now there are two which support that hypothesis

Quote:

As wearing a mask may reduce the amount of virus to which a wearer is exposed, it has been postulated that even if a mask-wearing person becomes infected, the reduced viral load to which they were exposed may mean that they suffer a milder disease. Supporting this theory is a study that showed that hamsters protected with a surgical mask partition were less likely to become infected with SARS-CoV-2 than those without the partition, and those that did get sick had milder illness. In addition, on cruise ships with COVID-19 outbreaks, the majority of infected patients (81%) were asymptomatic on a ship that had provided masks to all passengers and staff compared to only 18% of cases being asymptomatic on a cruise ship without masking (Gandhi, J Gen Intern Med 2020; Gandhi, N Engl J Med 2020).
https://www.consumerlab.com/answers/how-to-make-covid-19-mask-at-home-
as-effective-as-n95


This is behind a pay wall, you may not be able to access the site.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Monday, September 14, 2020 3:43 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

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Monday, September 14, 2020 3:45 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

https://www.consumerlab.com/answers/how-to-make-covid-19-mask-at-home-
as-effective-as-n95


This is behind a pay wall, you may not be able to access the site.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

THANKS SO MUCH for the link, Signy!!

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Monday, September 14, 2020 3:48 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Proof that Covid was created in Wuhan Lab?


https://ca.news.yahoo.com/chinese-virologist-claims-she-proof-02570016
4.html



THANKS for the link, JSF! I saw that in the news and bookmarked it on my 'puter, but - as I don't for probably 95% of my bookmarks - I didn't post it here.

ETA: Despite claims that a laboratory origin has been debunked by this paper https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9 , the takedown of many such papers due to poor data, faulty analysis, and unjustified conclusions, by a genuine virologist who specializes in viral evolution has left the 'origins' questions open, imo.

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Monday, September 14, 2020 5:59 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


But here's a link to a far more extended article with extensive quotes, and a link to her paper @ scribd.

The analysis moves MY needle more over to the 'human-made' side (though I admit I only somewhat glanced it over and didn't critically look at it for gaps, errors, or contradictions).

https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/rogue-chinese-virologist-joins-twitt
er-publishes-evidence-covid-19-created-lab


This looks to be the link to the paper https://zenodo.org/record/4028830#.X19xByXZglR

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Wednesday, September 16, 2020 1:55 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
By sheer numbers, Portland doesn't come close to the 400,000+ person Sturgis superspreader event, which was followed by sharp outbreaks in both N (150/M -> 350/M) and S (100/M -> 400/M) Dakota.

I also forgot to mention that the population of Portland was 583,000 - and Portland metropolitan area was 2.4 million, thereby diluting any "/100,000" or per capita figures.
The population of the entire state of North Dakota was 762,000 and South Dakota was 884,000.
Your numbers don't mean what you think they mean.
Your stated figures would amount to about 250 extra cases in SD, about 150 for ND.

Equivalent extra cases in Portland Metro would be about 100/M for 250 cases, and about 65/M for 150 cases.
Are you really claiming that Portland metro area did not increase by 100/M cases or even 65/M cases during these 100 days?

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Wednesday, September 16, 2020 2:02 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
COVID-19 Can Wreck Your Heart, Even if You Haven’t Had Any Symptoms

A growing body of research is raising concerns about the cardiac consequences of the coronavirus


We’ve also known for a while that some COVID-19 patients’ hearts are taking a beating, too—but over the past few weeks, the evidence has strengthened that cardiac damage can happen even among people who have never displayed symptoms of coronavirus infection. And these frightening findings help explain why college and professional sports leagues are proceeding with special caution as they make decisions about whether or not to play.

More than a dozen athletes at Power Five conference schools have been identified as having myocardial injury following coronavirus infection, according to ESPN; two of the conferences—the Big Ten and the Pac-12—already have announced they are postponing all competitive sports until 2021. And in Major League Baseball, Boston Red Sox ace pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez told reporters that he felt “100 years old” as a result of his bout with COVID, and of MLB’s shortened season because of myocarditis—an inflammation of the heart muscle, often triggered by a virus. Said Rodriguez: “That’s [the heart is] the most important part of your body, so when you hear that … I was kind of scared a little. Now that I know what it is, it’s still scary.”

Why are these athletes (and their leagues and conferences) taking such extreme precautions? It’s because of the stakes. Though it often resolves without incident, myocarditis can lead to severe complications such as abnormal heart rhythms, chronic heart failure and even sudden death.

Here’s the background: Myocarditis appears to result from the direct infection of the virus attacking the heart, or possibly as a consequence of the inflammation triggered by the body’s overly aggressive immune response. And it is not age-specific: In The Lancet, doctors recently reported on an 11-year-old child with multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C)—a rare illness—who died of myocarditis and heart failure. At autopsy, pathologists were able to identify coronavirus particles present in the child’s cardiac tissue, helping to explain the virus’ direct involvement in her death. In fact, researchers are reporting the presence of viral protein in the actual heart muscle, of six deceased patients. Of note is the fact that these patients were documented to have died of lung failure, having had neither clinical signs of heart involvement, nor a prior history of cardiac disease.

Ossama Samuel, associate chief of cardiology at Mount Sinai Beth Israel in New York, told me about a cluster of younger adults developing myocarditis, some of them a month or so after they had recovered from COVID-19. One patient, who developed myocarditis four weeks after believing he had recovered from the virus, responded to a course of steroid treatment only to develop a recurrence in the form of pericarditis (an inflammation of the sac surrounding the heart). A second patient, in her 40s, now has reduced heart function from myocarditis, and a third—an athletic man in his 40s—is experiencing recurring and dangerous ventricular heart rhythms, necessitating that he wear a LifeVest defibrillator for protection. His MRI also demonstrates fibrosis and scarring of his heart muscle, which may be permanent, and he may ultimately require placement of a permanent defibrillator.

J.N. ... told me that COVID-19 symptoms first appeared in his case in late March. ... Just 34 years old, he was diagnosed with COVID-induced myocarditis and severe heart failure. Doctors admitted him to the intensive care unit and placed him on a lifesaving intra-aortic balloon pump due to the very poor function of his heart. He spent two weeks in the hospital, has suffered recurrences since his discharge, and now says, “I’m very careful. I’m very concerned about the length of time I’ve been feeling sick, and if these symptoms are lifelong or will go away anytime soon.” J.N. said that everyday activities, like carrying his one-year-old daughter up a flight of stairs, leave him feeling winded and fatigued. He has been unable to work since March

Experts estimate that half of myocarditis cases resolve without a chronic complication, but several studies suggest that COVID-19 patients show signs of the condition months after contracting the virus. One non–peer reviewed study, involving 139 health care workers who developed coronavirus infection and recovered, found that about 10 weeks after their initial symptoms, 37 percent of them were diagnosed with myocarditis or myopericarditis ...

Any such cardiac sequelae lingering weeks to months after the fact is clearly concerning, and we’re seeing more evidence of it. A German study found that 78 percent of recovered COVID-19 patients, the majority of whom had only mild to moderate symptoms, demonstrated cardiac involvement more than two months after their initial diagnoses. Six in 10 were found to have persistent myocardial inflammation. While emphasizing that individual patients need not be nervous, lead investigator Elike Nagel added in an e-mail, “My personal take is that COVID will increase the incidence of heart failure over the next decades.”

Samuel called it “extremely dangerous” for athletes diagnosed with myocarditis to play competitive sports for at least three to six months, because of the risk of serious arrhythmia or sudden death, and several athletes already have made the decision to heed those dire warnings.

And for the rest of us? Wear a mask, social distance, avoid large gatherings, and spend more time in the great outdoors. I would echo the advice of J.N.: “Be careful. Just don’t get the virus in the beginning.” As of today, it’s still the best defense we’ve got.

Local Fake News is reporting that Big 10 is planning to open sports this fall, starting next month. With Football Championship on 19 Dec. after 9 weeks of games. Are they ignoring caution, or did they get different info?

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Thursday, September 17, 2020 2:18 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
COVID-19 Can Wreck Your Heart, Even if You Haven’t Had Any Symptoms

A growing body of research is raising concerns about the cardiac consequences of the coronavirus


We’ve also known for a while that some COVID-19 patients’ hearts are taking a beating, too—but over the past few weeks, the evidence has strengthened that cardiac damage can happen even among people who have never displayed symptoms of coronavirus infection. And these frightening findings help explain why college and professional sports leagues are proceeding with special caution as they make decisions about whether or not to play.

More than a dozen athletes at Power Five conference schools have been identified as having myocardial injury following coronavirus infection, according to ESPN; two of the conferences—the Big Ten and the Pac-12—already have announced they are postponing all competitive sports until 2021. And in Major League Baseball, Boston Red Sox ace pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez told reporters that he felt “100 years old” as a result of his bout with COVID, and of MLB’s shortened season because of myocarditis—an inflammation of the heart muscle, often triggered by a virus. Said Rodriguez: “That’s [the heart is] the most important part of your body, so when you hear that … I was kind of scared a little. Now that I know what it is, it’s still scary.”

Why are these athletes (and their leagues and conferences) taking such extreme precautions? It’s because of the stakes. Though it often resolves without incident, myocarditis can lead to severe complications such as abnormal heart rhythms, chronic heart failure and even sudden death.

Here’s the background: Myocarditis appears to result from the direct infection of the virus attacking the heart, or possibly as a consequence of the inflammation triggered by the body’s overly aggressive immune response. And it is not age-specific: In The Lancet, doctors recently reported on an 11-year-old child with multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C)—a rare illness—who died of myocarditis and heart failure. At autopsy, pathologists were able to identify coronavirus particles present in the child’s cardiac tissue, helping to explain the virus’ direct involvement in her death. In fact, researchers are reporting the presence of viral protein in the actual heart muscle, of six deceased patients. Of note is the fact that these patients were documented to have died of lung failure, having had neither clinical signs of heart involvement, nor a prior history of cardiac disease.

Ossama Samuel, associate chief of cardiology at Mount Sinai Beth Israel in New York, told me about a cluster of younger adults developing myocarditis, some of them a month or so after they had recovered from COVID-19. One patient, who developed myocarditis four weeks after believing he had recovered from the virus, responded to a course of steroid treatment only to develop a recurrence in the form of pericarditis (an inflammation of the sac surrounding the heart). A second patient, in her 40s, now has reduced heart function from myocarditis, and a third—an athletic man in his 40s—is experiencing recurring and dangerous ventricular heart rhythms, necessitating that he wear a LifeVest defibrillator for protection. His MRI also demonstrates fibrosis and scarring of his heart muscle, which may be permanent, and he may ultimately require placement of a permanent defibrillator.

J.N. ... told me that COVID-19 symptoms first appeared in his case in late March. ... Just 34 years old, he was diagnosed with COVID-induced myocarditis and severe heart failure. Doctors admitted him to the intensive care unit and placed him on a lifesaving intra-aortic balloon pump due to the very poor function of his heart. He spent two weeks in the hospital, has suffered recurrences since his discharge, and now says, “I’m very careful. I’m very concerned about the length of time I’ve been feeling sick, and if these symptoms are lifelong or will go away anytime soon.” J.N. said that everyday activities, like carrying his one-year-old daughter up a flight of stairs, leave him feeling winded and fatigued. He has been unable to work since March

Experts estimate that half of myocarditis cases resolve without a chronic complication, but several studies suggest that COVID-19 patients show signs of the condition months after contracting the virus. One non–peer reviewed study, involving 139 health care workers who developed coronavirus infection and recovered, found that about 10 weeks after their initial symptoms, 37 percent of them were diagnosed with myocarditis or myopericarditis ...

Any such cardiac sequelae lingering weeks to months after the fact is clearly concerning, and we’re seeing more evidence of it. A German study found that 78 percent of recovered COVID-19 patients, the majority of whom had only mild to moderate symptoms, demonstrated cardiac involvement more than two months after their initial diagnoses. Six in 10 were found to have persistent myocardial inflammation. While emphasizing that individual patients need not be nervous, lead investigator Elike Nagel added in an e-mail, “My personal take is that COVID will increase the incidence of heart failure over the next decades.”

Samuel called it “extremely dangerous” for athletes diagnosed with myocarditis to play competitive sports for at least three to six months, because of the risk of serious arrhythmia or sudden death, and several athletes already have made the decision to heed those dire warnings.

And for the rest of us? Wear a mask, social distance, avoid large gatherings, and spend more time in the great outdoors. I would echo the advice of J.N.: “Be careful. Just don’t get the virus in the beginning.” As of today, it’s still the best defense we’ve got.

Local Fake News is reporting that Big 10 is planning to open sports this fall, starting next month. With Football Championship on 19 Dec. after 9 weeks of games. Are they ignoring caution, or did they get different info?

I saw some discussion of this. Apparently the key factor is the new rapid testing, which sounds like saliva sampling with results in 15 seconds or 15 minutes. This method apparently negates the need for contact tracing or other time-consuming tasks before case identification.

Now PAC-12 is the sole Power 5 Conference not scheduled to play. Universally agreed they are now an orphan. They are strangled on 2 fronts. At least 2 of the States in their Conference do not allow Sporting Events. But that could be worked around by haveing remote "Home" games, at a stadium not in their actual home state.
The other strangulation is that there is no reason to do much because none of the PAC12 states are competitive in the Election, at least not for Obiden. It's not like Utah is going for Obiden, or CA, WA are going for Trump. At least, prior to the Seattle riots they weren't going for Trump.
Big 10 was the opposite, almost all battleground states. PAC12 are just lost.

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Friday, September 18, 2020 12:25 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Proof that Covid was created in Wuhan Lab?

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/chinese-virologist-claims-she-proof-02570016
4.html



THANKS for the link, JSF! I saw that in the news and bookmarked it on my 'puter, but - as I don't for probably 95% of my bookmarks - I didn't post it here.

ETA: Despite claims that a laboratory origin has been debunked by this paper https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9 , the takedown of many such papers due to poor data, faulty analysis, and unjustified conclusions, by a genuine virologist who specializes in viral evolution has left the 'origins' questions open, imo.

Apparently that doc was interviewed on Tucker Carlson a day or so after the story broke, several days sago by now.

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Friday, September 18, 2020 4:14 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

That must be some incredible spike in cases in Portland that you are trying to deny.
There IS no spike in Portland. Pendleton and Ontario do seem to have that problem, though! https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/oregon-coronavirus-cases.h
tml

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Friday, September 18, 2020 4:15 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

I had thought all reasonable folk had understood that Wuhan Virus was in SoCal before November.

Are you saying you didn't get the news, or are you denying it? Or not infusing your link with known data?

WTF are you babbling about?

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Friday, September 18, 2020 4:17 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

By sheer numbers... during these 100 days?
What your poor brain seems to be missing is the absence of a SPIKE in Portland related to the protests/(riots).

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Monday, September 21, 2020 2:06 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.



CDC abruptly removes guidance about airborne coronavirus transmission, says update 'was posted in error'

The guidance had been quietly updated on Friday, according to the CDC's website. CNN was first to report the change on Sunday. The CDC responded to CNN just before noon on Monday to say it was reverting to the previous guidance.

Despite several studies that have shown the novel coronavirus can spread through small particles in the air, the CDC page now says that Covid-19 is thought to spread mainly between people in close contact -- about 6 feet -- and "through respiratory droplets produced when an infected person coughs, sneezes or talks." This is the same language it posted months ago.
In language posted Friday and now removed, CDC said Covid-19 most commonly spread between people who are in close contact with one another, and went on to say it's known to spread "through respiratory droplets or small particles, such as those in aerosols, produced when an infected person coughs, sneezes, sings, talks or breathes."
These particles can cause infection when "inhaled into the nose, mouth, airways, and lungs," the agency said. "This is thought to be the main way the virus spreads."
"There is growing evidence that droplets and airborne particles can remain suspended in the air and be breathed in by others, and travel distances beyond 6 feet (for example, during choir practice, in restaurants, or in fitness classes)," the page said in the Friday update, which has since been removed. "In general, indoor environments without good ventilation increase this risk."
In the Friday update, the CDC had added new measures to protect yourself in others, including recommendations to use air purifiers to reduce airborne germs in indoors spaces and clear guidance to "stay at least 6 feet away from others, whenever possible." The updated CDC page had also changed language around asymptomatic transmission, shifting from saying "some people without symptoms may be able to spread the virus" to saying "people who are infected but do not show symptoms can spread the virus to others." That language has now been removed.

Also on Friday, CDC updated its coronavirus testing guidance to stress that anyone who has been in contact with an infected person should be tested for coronavirus. A controversial earlier update was not written by CDC scientists and posted online before it had undergone the normal scientific review process, two sources confirmed to CNN last week.


https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/21/health/cdc-reverts-airborne-transmi
ssion-guidance/index.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/21/world/covid-19-coronavirus.html
https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2020-09-20/coronavirus-aero
sol-airborne-spread



Also

Despite progress since July, most states are going backward with Covid-19 as doctors worry about 'a very apocalyptic fall'

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/21/health/us-coronavirus-monday/index.
html

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Monday, September 21, 2020 2:45 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


My guess is that the new guidance was based on at least 1 CDC study that showed eating at restaurants was a significant source of transmission.

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/09/11/91207
6989/adults-with-covid-19-twice-as-likely-to-have-eaten-at-restaurants-cdc-study


https://www.upi.com/Health_News/2020/09/10/Bars-restaurants-are-COVID-
19-infection-hotspots-study-confirms/6691599773114
/

And, having some idea how web-pages get changed, I suspect someone at the CDC thought it was important enough to get the new guidance out sooner rather than later, even if they had to say to the Trump Admin OOPS! my butterfingers!, and even if they faced potential retaliation up to and including losing their job(s).


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Monday, September 21, 2020 2:46 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


CDC admits it was wrong about Wuhan Coronavirus, yet again?

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/cdc-says-coronavirus-spreads-mainly-03495028
8.html

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Monday, September 21, 2020 2:54 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

By sheer numbers... during these 100 days?

What your poor brain seems to be missing is the absence of a SPIKE in Portland related to the protests/(riots).

I gave you generous opportunities to correct your Libtard Maths, but it seems these gifts were in vain.

Portland City Officials were far too busy starting and leading Riots, Looting, Arson, so they didn't have time to provide Covid case data specific to Portland. So let us use Multnomah County data.

A graph of the Multnomah Co Covid Cases is effectively 2 linear graphs. The first part is a linear ramp from about 31 March to the end of May. Then a curve up for a couple weeks, and then the 2nd part (so far) which is practically another linear ramp but at a drastically steeper incline.

With about 120 cases on 31 March,
2185 cases by 1 June.
This provides a baseline of about 233 per week for these 62 days.

Then the next ramp:
1665 cases by 18 June.
6442 cases by 8 Sept.
This is an average of 408 new cases per week for these 82 days.
Including:
3620 cases, 619 per week on 22 July.
319 per week on 1 Sept.

Golly, I wonder what kind of superspreader event occurred starting about 2 week before mid-June, and continuing into September. (The end of this is when most College towns in America are recording breakouts, yet Portland has New Cases practically in freefall.)



Sorry, full post is a couple posts after this.

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Monday, September 21, 2020 3:10 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


links to actual data needed

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Monday, September 21, 2020 3:15 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Proof that Covid was created in Wuhan Lab?

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/chinese-virologist-claims-she-proof-02570016
4.html



THANKS for the link, JSF! I saw that in the news and bookmarked it on my 'puter, but - as I don't for probably 95% of my bookmarks - I didn't post it here.

ETA: Despite claims that a laboratory origin has been debunked by this paper https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9 , the takedown of many such papers due to poor data, faulty analysis, and unjustified conclusions, by a genuine virologist who specializes in viral evolution has left the 'origins' questions open, imo.

Apparently that doc was interviewed on Tucker Carlson a day or so after the story broke, several days sago by now.

I understand there is a 2nd refugee Doctor of Wuhan who is corroborating the information.

He is also reporting that Covid is one of 2 Viruses STORED at th Wuhan facility.

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Monday, September 21, 2020 3:22 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

By sheer numbers... during these 100 days?

What your poor brain seems to be missing is the absence of a SPIKE in Portland related to the protests/(riots).

I gave you generous opportunities to correct your Libtard Maths, but it seems these gifts were in vain.

Portland City Officials were far too busy starting and leading Riots, Looting, Arson, so they didn't have time to provide Covid case data specific to Portland. So let us use Multnomah County data.

A graph of the Multnomah Co Covid Cases is effectively 2 linear graphs. The first part is a linear ramp from about 31 March to the end of May. Then a curve up for a couple weeks, and then the 2nd part (so far) which is practically another linear ramp but at a drastically steeper incline.

With about 120 cases on 31 March,
2185 cases by 1 June.
This provides a baseline of about 233 per week for these 62 days.

Then the next ramp:
1665 cases by 18 June.
6442 cases by 8 Sept.
This is an average of 408 new cases per week for these 82 days.
Including:
3620 cases, 619 per week on 22 July.
319 per week on 1 Sept.

Golly, I wonder what kind of superspreader event occurred starting about 2 week before mid-June, and continuing into September. (The end of this is when most College towns in America are recording breakouts, yet Portland has New Cases practically in freefall.)

So you are suggesting a one-time spike of 150 cases in North Dakota or a one-time spike of 250 cases in South Dakota are somehow not only not equivalent, but negligible even, to the Spike/Surge of an extra 175 new cases per week, every week, for 100 days.

In only 3 weeks Portland garnered more extra New Cases (525) than the 2 Dakotas combined (400).

Perhaps you can find somebody who is a non-Libtard to explain to you how math works in the real world.



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Monday, September 21, 2020 3:22 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


OK - ACTUAL data from Multnomah County, where Portland is located, that shows ... not what JSF claims.


https://multco.us/novel-coronavirus-covid-19/regional-covid-19-data-da
shboard

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Monday, September 21, 2020 4:43 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
links to actual data needed

Select one of the Situation Status reports:

https://www.portland.gov/omf/covid-19-situation-status-reports-emergen
cy-coordination-center


Here is one displaying the 2-stage ramp graph, with the transition occurring shortly after the riots/looting/arsons start:
https://www.portland.gov/sites/default/files/2020-08/2020.08.27_portla
nd-situation-report_final.pdf

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Monday, September 21, 2020 7:00 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Seems like any time there is a black murderer/rapist shot by a cop or a Supreme Court Justice dies that nobody talks about the plandemic anymore.



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, September 21, 2020 7:40 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

https://www.portland.gov/omf/covid-19-situation-status-reports-emergen
cy-coordination-center

https://www.portland.gov/sites/default/files/2020-08/2020.08.27_portla
nd-situation-report_final.pdf



Thanks! for the links.

First of all - those graphs are CUMULATIVE graphs of cases and deaths. OF COURSE they'll continue to go up !! since not too many people will revert to 'never infected' or 'undead'.

If you look at the cases by date that I linked https://multco.us/novel-coronavirus-covid-19/regional-covid-19-data-da
shboard
, you'll see that the 'cases' started their rise between the week of May 25, 2020* and May 31, 2020 - far too early to be accounted for by any protests/(riots). There needs to be at least a 2 week lag - for people to become symptomatic and go to the doctor.

And cases then peak the week of July 5, 2020 after which they drop off steeply, far too early compared to the ongoing protests/(riots) which should have sustained the outbreak if they were, indeed, the cause.

Second of all, you need to be careful about increases of 'cases' since - as Fearless Leader has noted - the more tests you do, the more 'cases' you'll find. In this instance, you'll see a disconnect between 'cases' and 'deaths' (after accounting for a 2-3 week lag to give confirmed 'cases' time to become 'deaths'). That indicates more testing, uncovering more 'cases'.

'Deaths' is a better measure (after a 4-6 week lag to confirm 'cases' and for those confirmed 'cases' to become 'deaths'.)

*Third, George Floyd died May 25, 2020. As I noted (above) 'cases' and 'deaths' were occurring far too early to be caused by the protests/(riots).



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Monday, September 21, 2020 10:37 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Oh... just you wait. There will be plenty of undead voting for Democrats by mail.

I keep telling my Grandpa not to vote for Biden, but I don't think he can hear me through 6 feet of dirt.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 8:02 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Oh... just you wait. There will be plenty of undead voting for Democrats by mail.

I keep telling my Grandpa not to vote for Biden, but I don't think he can hear me through 6 feet of dirt.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

1) 2016 Nov: Trump claims millions voted illegally in presidential poll - www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-38126438

2) 2017 May: Fact-checking Trump's repeated unsubstantiated claim of widespread voter fraud. - https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/fact-checking-trumps-repeated-unsubsta
ntiated-claim-widespread-voter/story?id=45021067


3) 2018 April: Trump lies about Voter Fraud in California
www.npr.org/2018/04/05/599868312/fact-check-trump-repeats-voter-fraud-
claim-about-california


4) 2019 June: Trump still lying about Voter Fraud
www.politifact.com/factchecks/2019/jun/24/donald-trump/pants-fire-trum
ps-latest-california-voter-fraud-cl
/

5) 2020 Sept: Finally Trump proves voter fraud - Trump Encourages People in North Carolina to Vote Twice, Which Is Illegal
www.nytimes.com/2020/09/02/us/politics/trump-people-vote-twice.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 10:19 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK





This is the biggest problem I mentioned back in the very early days we even started talking about this.

People like Nilbog going door to door harassing hundreds or even thousands of people who probably weren't going to bother voting, collecting those votes, removing votes they don't agree with, then dropping the rest of them off.


There is zero oversight if there is no ID required.


The ONLY reason that you deny that this is going to be a problem is because you know that it will disproportionately serve the side you want to see win.



My one question is though, do you really KNOW that? Or have you only been told that?

Who's to say that the Republicans won't be better at cheating than the Democrats are, now that we've made cheating in elections easier than it ever has been before?

There is actually zero reason to believe that Democrats are going to be better at this than Republicans will be. In fact, if the Republicans are all that is wrong in evil in the world as the Leftists on the boards here insinuate on a daily basis, I'd say that the chances Republicans will be better at this than Democrats is actually quite good.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 2:49 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

https://www.portland.gov/omf/covid-19-situation-status-reports-emergen
cy-coordination-center

https://www.portland.gov/sites/default/files/2020-08/2020.08.27_portla
nd-situation-report_final.pdf



Thanks! for the links.

First of all - those graphs are CUMULATIVE graphs of cases and deaths. OF COURSE they'll continue to go up !! since not too many people will revert to 'never infected' or 'undead'.

If you look at the cases by date that I linked https://multco.us/novel-coronavirus-covid-19/regional-covid-19-data-da
shboard
, you'll see that the 'cases' started their rise between the week of May 25, 2020* and May 31, 2020 - far too early to be accounted for by any protests/(riots). There needs to be at least a 2 week lag - for people to become symptomatic and go to the doctor.

And cases then peak the week of July 5, 2020 after which they drop off steeply, far too early compared to the ongoing protests/(riots) which should have sustained the outbreak if they were, indeed, the cause.

Second of all, you need to be careful about increases of 'cases' since - as Fearless Leader has noted - the more tests you do, the more 'cases' you'll find. In this instance, you'll see a disconnect between 'cases' and 'deaths' (after accounting for a 2-3 week lag to give confirmed 'cases' time to become 'deaths'). That indicates more testing, uncovering more 'cases'.

'Deaths' is a better measure (after a 4-6 week lag to confirm 'cases' and for those confirmed 'cases' to become 'deaths'.)

*Third, George Floyd died May 25, 2020. As I noted (above) 'cases' and 'deaths' were occurring far too early to be caused by the protests/(riots).

Your linky crashes my browser.

Yes, I understand how graphs work. Plus derivatives. But I have not seen evidence that you do.


I tried to extract actual data from that Portland.gov site which I linked. Jeez, I thought the Libtards in Madison were horrible at providing WI data. But these Portland Tards are even worse.

There seem to be 2 sequences of data, which don't mesh. I will list both which I could determine. This is all for Multnomah County.


First, I will call this "posted counts"

Ap 2 0122

My 7 0793 thru 7th
My14 0940 +147 thru 13th (6 days)
My21 1018 +078 thru 20th
My28 1093 +075 thru 27th
Jn 4 1228 +135 thru 3rd
Jn11 1407 +179 thru 11th (8 days)
Jn18 1665 +258
Jn25 1970 +305 thru 24/25th
Jl 2 2304 +334 thru 2nd
Jl 9 2697 +393 thru 9th
Jl16 3199 +502 thru 14th (5 days)
Jl23 3748 +549 thru 23rd (9 days)
Jl30 4131 +383 thru 28th (5 days)
Au 6 4574 +443 thru 4th
Au13 5046 +472 thru 11th
Au20 5500 +454
Au27 5822 +322
Se 3 6141 +319
Se10 6442 +301
Se17 6724 +282
Se24 7031 +307


I will call this "calculated counts from posted data"

Ap 2 0122

My 7 0793 thru 7th
My14 0940 +147
My21 1018 +078
My28 1093 +075
Jn 4 1228 +135
Jn11 1407 +179
Jn18 1665 +258
Jn25 1970 +305 thru 24/25th
Jl 2 2304 +334 thru 2nd
Jl 9 2697 +393 thru 9th
Jl16 3005 +308 thru 14th
Jl23 3622 +617 thru 21st
Jl30 4131 +509 thru 28th
Au 6 4574 +443 thru 4th
Au13 5046 +472 thru 11th
Au20 5459 +413
Au27 5822 +363
Se 3 6141 +319
Se10 6442 +301
Se17 6724 +282
Se24 7031 +307


As you can see, with either set of data, prior to June, no week had new cases exceed 150, even with hinky reporting back then.
And then, from 19 June until 9 September, the weekly new case total never falls below 300.
For folk who are not Libtards, this is not a difficult concept to comprehend. Perhaps you can try to explain to one of your non-Libtard friends how new case rates below 150 per week had DROPPED all the way down "steeply" to 300-600 per week, and this means there was no increase during this superspreader event. Let us know how they respond to such ridiculous claims.



In addition, you talk about a disconnect between cases and deaths. Have you forgotten that the disconnect is because the new cases are of young people, and they don't die at anywhere near the rate of the 70+ group? Did you think that cases just mysteriously go POOF after a couple weeks and become deaths?

During videos of the riots and looting, I did not see caravans of gurneys or hospital beds of all of the 70+ elderly participating, so they could die according to your model.

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 4:05 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

CDC abruptly removes guidance about airborne coronavirus transmission, says update 'was posted in error'
As I mentioned earlier, I check in with CNN every few days just to keep tabs on the (mostly bullshit) that it spews, and there it was, in big bold headlines, mentioning "covid" and "airborne" in the same sentence! The subhead was that the CDC is recognizing that airborne aerosols are a significant source of transmission. (Gee, whooda thunk? I though the Chinese bus study was pretty telling!) But when I tried to click on the article, several times, all I got was an error.

I guess they couldn't pull the headline fast enough.

The follow-on explanation in ZH was that the WHO put pressure on the CDC to retract the "airborne" designation because ... I dunno. Whatever I read didn't stick because it didn't make sense.

So they are sticking with the 6ft distance, handwashing, and substandard masking which works for large droplets but not aerosols.

It's all a matter of size. The smaller the droplet, the farther it will travel, the longer it will stay suspended in air, and the harder it is to filter out. When someone says "airborne" I mistakenly think of a free-floating naked virus particle, which would be incredibly hard to trap and would probably fall into the category of "ultrafine" particle. But in reality the droplets are probably larger, and more amenable to filtration. As water evaporates the droplets get smaller and smaller, but it look like as the droplets dry out so does the virus, which seems to inactivate it.

Outdoor contagion looks to be rare. So possibly things like bike rallies (Sturgis) and protests (many places) don't result in a massive outbreak.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 4:18 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.



What you are missing is reproductive log function that living things have. It starts out very slowly, when the initial numbers are low, so it never looks like much at the start. It's very deceiving that way. But then it takes off ...

2^2 = 4
4^2 = 16
16^2 = 256
256^2 = 65,536
65,536^2 = 4,294,967,296
4,294,967,296^2 = 14,844,674,407,000,000,000

... in only 6 steps ... and so on.


Once the virus is in a population, unless active measures are taken to suppress it, the numbers would zoom up anyway. And when you're looking for the start of exponential growth you have to look where the numbers are low, not where they've already gotten high. So, imo, it would be very difficult to say the increase - which btw started earlier than you think - is due to some random but relatively small number of imports, or the natural mathematics of biological increase.

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 7:07 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


I have been wondering what effect the travel rate of Americans has had on the caseload, the rate of infection.

I'll post some lists to ruminate on.

https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/countries-whose-citizens-travel-th
e-most.html



Rank Country Outbound Trips (average trips per person per year) Domestic Trips (average trips per person per year) Total Trips (average trips per person per year)
1 Finland ------- 1.70 5.80 7.50
2 United States - 0.20 6.50 6.70
3 Sweden -------- 1.50 4.40 6.00
4 Denmark ------- 1.40 3.90 5.30
5 Norway -------- 2.00 3.20 5.20
6 Hong Kong ----- 4.30 0.03 4.30
7 New Zealand --- 0.50 3.80 4.30
8 Canada -------- 1.00 3.20 4.10
9 Australia ----- 0.40 3.40 3.80
10 France ------- 0.40 3.10 3.50



https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/indicators/IS.AIR.PSGR/rankings

Rank Country Value Year
1 United States 889,022,000.00 2018
2 China 611,439,800.00 2018
3 Ireland 167,598,600.00 2018
4 United Kingdom 165,388,600.00 2018
5 India 164,035,600.00 2018
6 Japan 126,387,500.00 2018
7 Turkey 115,595,500.00 2018
8 Indonesia 115,154,100.00 2018
9 Germany 109,796,200.00 2018
10 Brazil 102,110,000.00 2018
11 Russia 99,327,310.00 2018
12 United Arab Emirates 95,533,070.00 2018
13 Canada 89,380,000.00 2018
14 Korea 88,157,580.00 2018
15 Spain 80,672,100.00 2018
16 Thailand 76,053,040.00 2018
17 Australia 75,667,650.00 2018
18 France 70,188,030.00 2018
19 Mexico 64,569,640.00 2018
20 Malaysia 60,481,770.00 2018
21 Hong Kong SAR, China 47,101,820.00 2018
22 Vietnam 47,049,670.00 2018
23 Netherlands 43,996,040.00 2018
24 Philippines 43,080,120.00 2018
25 Singapore 40,401,520.00 2018
26 Saudi Arabia 39,141,660.00 2018
27 Colombia 33,704,040.00 2018
28 Hungary 31,226,850.00 2018
29 Qatar 29,178,920.00 2018
30 Switzerland 28,857,990.00 2018
31 Italy 27,630,440.00 2018
32 Iran 25,604,870.00 2018
33 South Africa 23,921,750.00 2018
34 Chile 19,517,180.00 2018
35 Argentina 18,081,940.00 2018
36 Peru 17,758,530.00 2018
37 Portugal 17,367,960.00 2018
38 New Zealand 17,249,050.00 2018
39 Greece 15,125,930.00 2018
40 Belgium 13,639,490.00 2018



https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/countries-with-the-highest-number-
of-airline-passengers.html


Rank Country Number Of Air Passengers (2015)
1 United States 798,230,000
2 China 436,183,969
3 United Kingdom 131,449,680
4 Germany 115,540,886
5 Japan 113,762,000
6 Ireland 113,144,501
7 Brazil 102,039,359
8 India 98,927,860
9 Turkey 96,604,665
10 Indonesia 8,868,576


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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 7:16 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.



Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

CDC abruptly removes guidance about airborne coronavirus transmission, says update 'was posted in error'
As I mentioned earlier, I check in with CNN every few days just to keep tabs on the (mostly bullshit) that it spews, and there it was, in big bold headlines, mentioning "covid" and "airborne" in the same sentence! The subhead was that the CDC is recognizing that airborne aerosols are a significant source of transmission. (Gee, whooda thunk? I though the Chinese bus study was pretty telling!) But when I tried to click on the article, several times, all I got was an error.

I guess they couldn't pull the headline fast enough.

The follow-on explanation in ZH was that the WHO put pressure on the CDC to retract the "airborne" designation because ... I dunno. Whatever I read didn't stick because it didn't make sense.

So they are sticking with the 6ft distance, handwashing, and substandard masking which works for large droplets but not aerosols.

It's all a matter of size. The smaller the droplet, the farther it will travel, the longer it will stay suspended in air, and the harder it is to filter out. When someone says "airborne" I mistakenly think of a free-floating naked virus particle, which would be incredibly hard to trap and would probably fall into the category of "ultrafine" particle. But in reality the droplets are probably larger, and more amenable to filtration. As water evaporates the droplets get smaller and smaller, but it look like as the droplets dry out so does the virus, which seems to inactivate it.

Outdoor contagion looks to be rare. So possibly things like bike rallies (Sturgis) and protests (many places) don't result in a massive outbreak.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

Thanks.

What I heard on KNX1070 is that when professionals think of 'airborne', measles is the outstanding example ... if someone comes into the ER with measles and goes into a treatment room, nobody is even allowed IN that room for 2 hours afterward to let the measles virus flush out. With measles, it's the same with the alerts on the radio from time to time, when they'll announce that a person with measles went through a /terminal/date/time-range/ and people who were there who never had measles/weren't vaccinated need to see their doctor.

Measles seems to be on the high end of airborne transmissibility, maybe even at the top; whereas COVID-19 is at the lower end.

So perhaps the questions is how transmissible does it need to be to be a major, instead of somewhat lesser, concern?


BTW I think of CNN as 'raw meat splatter'. *

* I just wanted to be a bit more explicit about what I think of CNN. It's like a window into the unconscious of the great hive-mind of the Deep State. It reacts before it's had a chance to decide if that's the way it *should* be seen to be reacting; before it gets all its alibis and narratives straight. I hope it never cleans up its act.

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 7:25 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Proof that Covid was created in Wuhan Lab?

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/chinese-virologist-claims-she-proof-02570016
4.html



THANKS for the link, JSF! I saw that in the news and bookmarked it on my 'puter, but - as I don't for probably 95% of my bookmarks - I didn't post it here.

ETA: Despite claims that a laboratory origin has been debunked by this paper https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9 , the takedown of many such papers due to poor data, faulty analysis, and unjustified conclusions, by a genuine virologist who specializes in viral evolution has left the 'origins' questions open, imo.

Apparently that doc was interviewed on Tucker Carlson a day or so after the story broke, several days sago by now.

I understand there is a 2nd refugee Doctor of Wuhan who is corroborating the information.

He is also reporting that Covid is one of 2 Viruses STORED at the Wuhan facility.

Also, he mentioned the Coronavirus was released in response to some Sanction against China from Trump.

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 8:37 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


I'd appreciate a name to track this down in all its finer details.

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Wednesday, September 23, 2020 2:23 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
I'd appreciate a name to track this down in all its finer details.

I'll try to find it. I don't recall hearing the actual name, or remembering what it sounded like.

In April, Luc Montagnier - France.
3 August, Dr. Li-Meng Yan - Wuhan China

Wow, they seem to really have that buried well. Haven't found the right combo of terms yet.
He escaped from Peoples Liberation Army, where he worked.

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