REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

new deadly human-to-human-transmissible coronavirus emerges out of China

POSTED BY: 1KIKI
UPDATED: Thursday, October 12, 2023 02:05
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VIEWED: 116979
PAGE 26 of 57

Wednesday, April 15, 2020 11:18 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


We've trashed the economy so frightened old people like you can feel safe.

Let me ask you how you're going to feel after you eventually do die of literally anything else knowing that?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 1:31 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Yeah, Trump really blew it.

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:26 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Insofar as he's a Boomer, you're right.

The Boomer generation spent their entire lives ruining this country and squandering the wealth.

Fitting that they should go out with a pathetic whimper, hiding in their homes, waiting to die from The Coomph.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:26 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
We've trashed the economy so frightened old people like you can feel safe.

Not frightened, SIX. But unlike you I have immediate responsibilities to someone other than myself, which you would know if you've paid the slightest attention to someone other than yourself these past few YEARS. I don't need your social distancing. I'm able to do that all on my own, plus ... we wear masks. That's not being afraid, that's taking precautions.

Tell me, SIX, when you start a new project, do you just bull on ahead, without trying to learn ahead of time what to do, how you should do it, and what to avoid? Well, that's like this pandemic. You take reasonable steps to figure out how to make your projects come out right, right? Well, that's like this pandemic.

Quote:

Let me ask you how you're going to feel after you eventually do die of literally anything else knowing that?
Jeez, now THAT'S a stupid question! After I die, I won't be feeling, well ... anything! As my dad used to say Her troubles are over. I just hope to fulfill all of my responsibilities before I die, so that I can die with a clean conscience.

I don't know what your problems are, but you got some doozies!

In the meantime, while I hope to live another 25 healthy years, I'm making provisions in case I die soon.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME
#WEARAMASK

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 4:23 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Meh. Kevin is BORING!

There are far more interesting things to discuss than him.

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 5:10 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Agreed.

What did you think of the pathology and histology results? Too bad that they only reported on 4 people and gave no indication of how many people they examined in such detail, and what % of exminations these four represented.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME
#WEARAMASK

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 10:17 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


You Boomer Panic is boring.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 10:34 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Meanwhile, in reality...

16,709,548 people have died worldwide from everything else since January 1st.

824,756 people have died in the Unites States from everything else since January 1st.


38,520,000 babies have been born worldwide since January 1st.


Most boring apocalypse ever.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 12:06 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Agreed.

What did you think of the pathology and histology results? Too bad that they only reported on 4 people and gave no indication of how many people they examined in such detail, and what % of examinations these four represented.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME
#WEARAMASK

I haven't watched that yet. But usually DIC presents - strangely enough - with uncontrollable bleeding (like the kind you might associate with Ebola) - because everything that goes into making blood clot has already been used up. And I haven't heard of that kind of bleeding. I'll watch it later.

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 1:45 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


calculations below from data previously posted

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 1:46 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


I did just calculate the case fatality rate for countries with greater than 5,000 cases from worldOmeters, but I also calculated it from JH for the US. Then I restricted the data to western developed nations.

The reason I did this is because I wanted to see what might be an expectable case fatality rate in a developed western world setting.

I think Germany's and SK's numbers are the most reliable, since they have the most extensive population testing in the group. And those numbers give an average case fatality rate of 2.4%. The US is ~4.35% by comparison. Sweden is 10.1% and the UK is 13.1%.

But as time goes on and countries move over to the backside of the curve, I think the case fatality rate will go up as deaths catch up to cases.

Australia 1.0
Israel 1.0
Japan 1.8
S. Korea 2.1
Norway 2.2
Germany 2.7
Austria 2.7
Canada 3.5
Ireland 3.5
USA 4.3
USA 4.4
Denmark 4.6
Switzerland 4.7
Sweden 10.1
Spain 10.5
France 11.0
Netherlands 11.1
UK 13.1
Italy 13.1
Belgium 13.2



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Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:02 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Meanwhile, in reality...

Fatality rate will be much, much lower than is ever reported because we will never have any idea how many hundreds of millions or even billions of people had it and never got tested.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:47 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


I picked 3,000 cases per state because it's a good substantial number, not easily moved by fluke incidents. But 3,000 cases is a lot of cases. And in 2 and a half weeks, the US went from having 5 states with more than 3,000 cases to 28 states with more than 3,000 cases.


Last updated: April 16, 2020, 18:59 GMT
28 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 15, 2020, 17:29 GMT
28 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 14, 2020, 20:12 GMT
26 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 13, 2020, 21:04 GMT
25 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 09, 2020, 20:28 GMT
22 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 09, 2020, 00:24 GMT (posted late April 08, 2020)
21 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 06, 2020
20 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 06, 2020, 01:13 GMT (posted April 5, 2020)
19 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 04, 2020, 20:33 GMT
18 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 02, 2020, 18:17 GMT
16 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 01, 2020, 21:16 GMT
13 states with more than 3,00 cases

As of March 29, 2020 at 18:24 GMT
10 states with more than 3,00 cases

As of March 28, 2020 at 18:19 GMT
5 states with more than 3,00 cases

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 4:30 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Meanwhile, in reality...

Fatality rate will be much, much lower than is ever reported because we will never have any idea how many hundreds of millions or even billions of people had it and never got tested.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Meanwhile, in the REAL real world, if you don't have enough ventilators, doctors, hospital beds, masks, and morgue space ... Houston, we have a problem. No matter how many tests are, or aren't, done.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 5:25 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
I picked 3,000 cases per state because it's a good substantial number, not easily moved by fluke incidents. But 3,000 cases is a lot of cases. And in 2 and a half weeks, the US went from having 5 states with more than 3,000 cases to 28 states with more than 3,000 cases.


Last updated: April 16, 2020, 18:59 GMT
28 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 15, 2020, 17:29 GMT
28 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 14, 2020, 20:12 GMT
26 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 13, 2020, 21:04 GMT
25 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 09, 2020, 20:28 GMT
22 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 09, 2020, 00:24 GMT (posted late April 08, 2020)
21 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 06, 2020
20 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 06, 2020, 01:13 GMT (posted April 5, 2020)
19 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 04, 2020, 20:33 GMT
18 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 02, 2020, 18:17 GMT
16 states with more than 3,00 cases

Last updated: April 01, 2020, 21:16 GMT
13 states with more than 3,00 cases

As of March 29, 2020 at 18:24 GMT
10 states with more than 3,00 cases

As of March 28, 2020 at 18:19 GMT
5 states with more than 3,00 cases



KNOWN cases.

Huge difference between the spin and the reality here.


It's hard to miss counting people who get sick enough that they go to the hospital and impossible to trip over dead bodies.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 5:27 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Meanwhile, in reality...

Fatality rate will be much, much lower than is ever reported because we will never have any idea how many hundreds of millions or even billions of people had it and never got tested.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Meanwhile, in the REAL real world, if you don't have enough ventilators, doctors, hospital beds, masks, and morgue space ... Houston, we have a problem. No matter how many tests are, or aren't, done.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK




I don't give a shit, Sigs.

We've fucked the economy over this, and there's no going back from that.

Once this panic is over you're going to realize that pretty quickly.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 5:30 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

more untrue stuff posted by Kevin
Do Right, Be Right. :)

fify

lol

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 7:07 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Whatever you say, wackjob.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 7:16 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

more untrue stuff posted by Kevin
Do Right, Be Right. :)

fify

lol

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 9:55 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


So I assume you're saying that the worldwide and US birth and death rates that I posted are bullshit then?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 10:51 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIX:Meanwhile, in reality...
Fatality rate will be much, much lower than is ever reported because we will never have any idea how many hundreds of millions or even billions of people had it and never got tested.

SIGNY: Meanwhile, in the REAL real world, if you don't have enough ventilators, doctors, hospital beds, masks, and morgue space ... Houston, we have a problem. No matter how many tests are, or aren't, done.
#WEARAMASK


SIX: I don't give a shit, Sigs.

Of course you don't, SIX. That's because you never really cared about anybody but yourself. So much for "Do right, be right"!

Quote:

SIX: We've fucked the economy over this, and there's no going back from that.
Once this panic is over you're going to realize that pretty quickly.



SIX, the economy has been fucked six way from Sunday for a long, long, LONG time. Since before you were born! And it's just gotten more and more fucked as time went on.

TRUMP didn't do anybody any favors by encouraging the Fed to blow bigger and bigger speculative bubbles with low, low interest rates (that only benefited the wealthiest). But OBAMA didn't do anybody any favors by bailing out the banks and prosecuting no one. GWB didn't help things along by agreeing to China being included in the WTO, and ballooning the Federal deficit. CLINTON did a masterful job sucking China's and and bankers' dicks. It goes all the way back to ditching the gold standard, and even further back to the creation of the Fed. And even before that, to the control of government by big monopolies.

If you think things went sideways just recently, you haven't been paying attention!

The flaws have been there for a long time, the coronavirus just made them visible. I'm sorry if that interfered with your tiny plans and optimistic expectations!



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 11:24 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


YOU BETTER HOPE THIS KILLS A LOT OF PEOPLE.

1) Nobody is going to take the next one seriously if it doesn't.

2) We probably can't afford to do anything about it even if the next one is serious.


You fucking idiots blew the economy over nothing.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 16, 2020 11:31 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Fucking CARES Act cost 5.5 years worth of GWB military budgets.

And that's just to keep people from starving and killing each other for a few months, and barely does anything to address trying to fix the economy whenever the fuck people can go back to their lives.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, April 17, 2020 1:43 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Fucking CARES Act cost 5.5 years worth of GWB military budgets.

And that's just to keep people from starving and killing each other for a few months, and barely does anything to address trying to fix the economy whenever the fuck people can go back to their lives.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Weren't you all for Universal Basic Income just a few short months ago? Because I distinctly remember doing the calculations and showing how it would not just "replace" all of the other government aid programs, it would eat up the entire Federal budget.

SIX, people should take a lesson from this:

1) Every adult and small business needs to be more self-reliant, and have a rainy day fund for hard times, STOP TAKING ON SO MUCH DEBT, and
2) Wear mask and wash your hands.

Social distancing is not a long-term solution, and it can't be applied as a bridge to a sucessful treatment or a vaccine, seeing as those are months, if not years, away.

We wouldn't have to go thru all of these money gyrations, all of these plans for "immunity cards" and central health database and the Bill Gates desire the control the world thru vaccination ... and the bank's desire to buy up the world thru defaulted loans ... if people would just take positive, common sense steps to protect themselves healthwise, economically, and financially. Freeze the lenders out, and get on with your lives.

Your response frankly puzzles me. You've got a real grotch about viruses because somebody scared you when you were a kid? That can't possibly the totality of the problem, because that's a lot like SECOND (one experience twists an entire lifetime) and you're not like SECOND at all.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Friday, April 17, 2020 2:46 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
You've got a real grotch about viruses because somebody scared you when you were a kid? That can't possibly the totality of the problem ...
-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

It's not even a small bit of it. It's just a story Kevin tells because he doesn't want to tell the real reason.

When you look at his life, he's made a lot of really bad life decisions. He dropped out of college 4x, as he admits. But instead of thinking maybe he's got a problem, he's decided that anyone who's ever been to college, is going to college or will go to college, is making a really bad choice because college is a waste. He blew a couple of interviews and his teeth were going. So along with his ability (as he imagined) to figure out what buttons to push on people, his teeth and smile were what he thought of as the ace up his sleeve. So what did he do when that was threatened? Did he try to get his teeth fixed? Did he try to interview better? No, he went on a years long bender. And do you remember his trip out of drunk-posting? He went on, and on, and on about his niece. Well, she served her purpose as a prop I guess. But do you hear about her now? Ever? Maybe she counted on him. Maybe she didn't. But it's not any concern of his. She served the purpose. So, whatever happened to all that undying love? And after he got out of it? He decided to go for the lowest level of job there is, so he could outperform his coworkers so he could manipulate his bosses for penny ante stuff like preferred hours. And all he demands here is that everyone bow at the alter of his brilliance. God forbid anyone, let alone a female, be more educated, know more, or challenge him.

His stories are merely a diversionary tactic to keep you from looking objectively at his life.

If you want to know about Kevin, look at his life.

But yanno, one-note Kevin is BORING. Let's discuss something more interesting.

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Friday, April 17, 2020 3:10 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


For example, I've been keeping up with cases and deaths data and specific events that might or might not change the course of the pandemic. ... The decision to not do as much testing, social distancing programs, mask-wearing in public, and so on, both here in LACounty as well as California in general. Some of those orders are coming up to a point where their effects might be seen in the data. It's 1-2 weeks for any change to show up in cases, and about 3-4 weeks for any change to show up in deaths. And then you need at least a week or two of data after that.

I haven't gotten to it yet!, but I'm going to calculate doubling time from before each event to one week after for cases, and then doubling time from one week after the event to one week after the next event. That would give doubling time before and after each event. If the event made a difference, one should see doubling time extend. And of course do the same thing for deaths, except extend the division time to 2 weeks after the event.

Yeah, it's crude, but then so are the numbers. And I want to get a feel for what's going on - what works and what doesn't.

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Friday, April 17, 2020 10:22 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:

His stories are merely a diversionary tactic to keep you from looking objectively at his life.



lol

You got me, you dumb bitch.

I'm trying to hide the facts that I already told you.


You turned into a lunatic cunt when I denied AIDS was real, as if you have some personal stake in propagating that lie. You're the one with a problem here.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, April 17, 2020 1:24 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Report: Covid-19 patients recovering quickly after getting experimental drug remdesivir

https://www.statnews.com/

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Friday, April 17, 2020 1:30 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/17/health/us-coronavirus-friday/index.
html


New York and other hot spots are getting longer coronavirus peaks than expected, expert says

"... places like New York seem to be stuck at the peak for longer than we originally expected," he added. "... It's not something that I think anybody expected to see where people would, instead of two or three days to peak, they're spending a longer period and then cases will start to come down."

"We're going to be establishing surveillance sites in some of the inner-city clinics that we have, and some of the indigenous population clinics, to ... try to identify and understand how much asymptomatic infection is there," CDC director Dr. Robert Redfield told NBC's "Today" show.

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Friday, April 17, 2020 1:39 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I don't know what happened 3-5 weeks ago (Spring Break? Mardi Gras?), but the USA as a whole reported 4,591 new deaths in one day; well more than twice the usual daily number of heart attacks, which is the usual top cause of death (~2000), and almost twice the record number of the day before (2569)



For those of you who are counting, that would be 1.7 MILLION deaths per year. Mostly in the NYC, NJ, and MICHIGAN area (the state where people are just dying to get back to work).

Altho NYC just went back and reclassified ~4000 deaths posthumously, those deaths were NOT included in the figure.

So, seriously, what happened? Young adults came home from Spring Break/Mardis Gras and gave it to mom and dad, or grandma and grandpa?



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Friday, April 17, 2020 1:42 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Report: Covid-19 patients recovering quickly after getting experimental drug remdesivir

https://www.statnews.com/]

GOOD NEWS!
But China dropped out of the study.
Quote:

Gilead's stock drops after China halts second remdesivir trial

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gileads-stock-drops-after-china-halt
s-second-remdesivir-trial-2020-04-15
(April 15)

I wonder why? It's probably an IP thing. Originally they said they wanted to patent remdesivir themselves.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Friday, April 17, 2020 3:45 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Reading through a number of links, here's some basic info:

I thought Remdesivir looked like a nucleotide analogue (if pressed I wouldn't have had a guess as to which one), and indeed, it's an analogue for adenosine. The shape is one that interacts with coronavirus RNA polymerase enzymes that replicate the RNA genetic code. (Other viruses have different enzymes that do the same thing, that don't interact with Remdesivir, so it's ineffective against them. It was initially trialed as an Ebola drug. When that failed, it was retasked to SARS/ MERS where it showed promise in animal studies.) Once Remdesivir is inserted into the RNA instead of adenosine, replication stops.

Remdesivir has to be given early enough, before cytokine storm takes over. Once cytokine storm happens, it becomes the primary pathology, not SARS-COV-2.

The initial ad hoc use in China included patients well into pathology, beyond the reach of Remdesivir. For the recent formal trial, China didn't have enough patients to participate.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/16/remdesivir-surges-ahead-against-co
ronavirus
/
https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/16/early-peek-at-data-on-gilead-coron
avirus-drug-suggests-patients-are-responding-to-treatment
/



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Friday, April 17, 2020 3:50 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Report: Covid-19 patients recovering quickly after getting experimental drug remdesivir

https://www.statnews.com/]

GOOD NEWS!
But China dropped out of the study.
Quote:

Gilead's stock drops after China halts second remdesivir trial

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gileads-stock-drops-after-china-halt
s-second-remdesivir-trial-2020-04-15
(April 15)

I wonder why? It's probably an IP thing. Originally they said they wanted to patent remdesivir themselves.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

I don't see how China could patent it since Gilead, NIH, UNC Chapel Hill, and others did the development work according to my links. Let me post them above if you want to follow up.

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Friday, April 17, 2020 7:48 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


A lot of basic drug development (and other research) is actually subcontracted to Chinese labs. And China has a way of making outside firms share their IP.

Quote:

China Wants to Patent Gilead’s Experimental Coronavirus Drug
Bloomberg News
February 5, 2020

Chinese researchers have applied for a national patent

Applies only in China? Would this be like a license?
Quote:

on an experimental Gilead Sciences Inc. drug that they believe might fight the novel coronavirus.

The Wuhan Institute of Virology -- based in the Chinese city at the center of the epidemic -- has applied for a patent in China for the use of the antiviral drug, known as remdesivir, in treating the ailment.

Patents are linked to applications and uses, not just to the item and technology. If you come up with a novel way to use a paperclip, I think you can patent it.
Quote:

The application was made on Jan. 21 together with a military academy, according to a Feb. 4 statement on the institute’s website.

Large areas of China have been paralyzed by the coronavirus, and the move signals a desire to speed development of one of the most promising potential treatments. Beijing has moved aggressively to contain the infection that has killed almost 500 people and sickened nearly 25,000. If the application succeeds, Gilead would need to get Chinese patent owners on board in sales of the drug for treating coronavirus infections outside China.

“The good thing in having a patent is that it would lead to cross-licensing situations that give China more bargaining chips in negotiating the licensing fee with Gilead,” said Wang Yanyu, a senior partner at AllBright Law Offices in Beijing.

The move may revive longstanding concerns about China’s respect for intellectual property rights. The country has made strides in the pharmaceutical space in recent years as it works to nurture a domestic industry based on innovative drugs.

It’s not clear if or when China’s intellectual property authorities will approve the institute’s application. The patent filing will need to prove that the drug works on this coronavirus strain, 2019-nCoV, in a way that’s different from its effect on other viruses in the same category.

Filing of the patent application by a stakeholder in China, however, makes sense, according to Wang. “Most of the patients are here, rather than in the U.S., which makes it unlikely that Gilead will do all these tests,” he said.

Coronavirus Lurking in Feces May Reveal Hidden Risk of Spread

While Gilead’s experimental drug isn’t licensed or approved anywhere in the world, it is being rushed into trials in China on coronavirus patients after showing early signs of being highly effective. It may go into clinical trials in China as early as next week in patients with moderate and severe symptoms of the pathogen, said Merdad Parsey, Gilead’s chief medical officer.

Chinese scientists have found Gilead’s remdesivir, and chloroquine, an 80-year-old malaria drug, “highly effective” in laboratory studies at thwarting the coronavirus, they said Tuesday in a paper in the journal Cell Research. The two drugs’ efficacy on humans required further clinical tests, the institute said in its statement.
Wants Access

China is capable of manufacturing chloroquine and now wants access to remdesivir.

The decision, however, to seek a patent instead of invoking the heavy-handed “compulsory license” option that lets nations override drug patents in national emergencies, underscores the delicate balancing act before China as it signals commitment toward intellectual property rights alongside curbing the virus outbreak.

“The fact that they have applied for a patent means there’s growing awareness about this in the country,” said Wang. “The government is compelled to avoid using the compulsory license because it has been making efforts to show China respects intellectual property rights and the abuse of compulsory licensing will draw international criticism.”

Gilead will retain the global rights to market the antiviral medication, once approved, in treating illnesses such as Ebola and SARS for which the drug was originally intended.

The Wuhan institute said in its statement that it made the patent application out of national interest, and won’t exercise its patent rights if foreign pharmaceutical firms work together with China to curb the contagion.

At its end, Gilead is shipping enough doses to treat 500 patients and is ramping up supply in case the clinical trials work.

While the drug is challenging to produce, Gilead is working as fast as possible to produce more, according to Parsey. “It has been very no-holds-barred on our side,” he said.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-05/china-is-trying-to-
patent-gilead-s-experimental-coronavirus-drug




-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Friday, April 17, 2020 8:36 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Wow.

I had no idea all that was going on. That's QUITE the eye opener! THANKS.

And yeah, there's a lot there I don't understand.

But this might be the death knell for Chinese patent application: "The patent filing will need to prove that the drug works on this coronavirus strain, 2019-nCoV, in a way that’s different from its effect on other viruses in the same category." Well, 2019-nCoV is now SARS-COV-2, in the SARS virus family. It seems to me that would put it in the same 'category' of virus as SARS-COV, the second use for remdesivir as researched by Gilead et al (after its first use for Ebola).

So maybe China is just dropping out of international studies because it sees no need to help international efforts along with a drug it can't patent? Or maybe Gilead is rushing along with clinical trials to get an international patent in first because there's a real chance China could be granted its own?

Too complicated for me. I can't imagine how they might be thinking of this.

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Friday, April 17, 2020 9:26 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


There hasn't been a single thing produced out of China that had a copyright or patent that China respected.

If China were to patent a drug, just simply reverse-engineer it and sell it at generic WalMart prices for $3 for your script.

Goose meet gander. Fuck China.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, April 17, 2020 9:32 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
I don't know what happened 3-5 weeks ago (Spring Break? Mardi Gras?), but the USA as a whole reported 4,591 new deaths in one day; well more than twice the usual daily number of heart attacks, which is the usual top cause of death (~2000), and almost twice the record number of the day before (2569)

For those of you who are counting, that would be 1.7 MILLION deaths per year.



No it wouldn't.

By the end of the year everybody might have already caught it and either gotten over it or died. Hell... that might already be the case now, and a month from now it falls to nothing and we never see any large numbers again.

The only way that this would become a long-term 1.7 Million deaths every year is if there is any truth at all to the possibility of re-infection AND unlike any other virus out there it infects people at the same rate all year round and doesn't drastically change its behavior based off of the season.



And your daily change isn't taking into account that TPTB just changed the rules to allow a ton of deaths that aren't even verified to be related to The Coomph at all to be confirmed Coomph kills. New York has been throwing thousands of dead bodies on that pile, completely destroying any credibility of death counts we may have had before the change.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, April 17, 2020 10:23 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


How little you know, Kevin.

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Friday, April 17, 2020 10:49 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


How little any of us know, Karen.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, April 17, 2020 11:05 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
I don't know what happened 3-5 weeks ago (Spring Break? Mardi Gras?), but the USA as a whole reported 4,591 new deaths in one day; well more than twice the usual daily number of heart attacks, which is the usual top cause of death (~2000), and almost twice the record number of the day before (2569)


Quote:



For those of you who are counting, that would be 1.7 MILLION deaths per year. Mostly in the NYC, NJ, and MICHIGAN area (the state where people are just dying to get back to work).

Altho NYC just went back and reclassified ~4000 deaths posthumously, those deaths were NOT included in the figure.

So, seriously, what happened? Young adults came home from Spring Break/Mardis Gras and gave it to mom and dad, or grandma and grandpa?



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

I went back to the data I've been casually keeping. Part of that data is just recording states' cases and deaths when the states have more than 3,000 cases.

I spanned across 2 days in terms of calculating increased deaths, because I didn't want to miss any big increases by picking bad times. It looks like NYS accounts for nearly the entire large increase, at ~5100 deaths over 2 days. In general, NYS has been recently tracking 500 - 700 deaths per day. Some of the others had a small bump up in their day-on-day increases, but nothing that can't be accounted for by being on the wrong side of the curve.

Deaths between April 17, 2020, 18:03 GMT - April 15, 2020, 17:29 GMT
New York 5150
New Jersey 684
Massachusetts 288
Pennsylvania 141
Michigan 325
California 183
Illinois 204
Florida 95
Louisiana 110
Texas 64
Georgia 98
Connecticut 300
Maryland 76
Washington 36
Indiana 83
Colorado 45
Ohio 65
Virginia 36
Tennessee 17
North Carolina 41
Missouri 21
Arizona 27
Alabama 25
Rhode Island 31
South Carolina 12
Wisconsin 27
Mississippi 7
Nevada 12

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 12:42 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/17/health/south-korea-coronavirus-rete
sting-positive-intl-hnk/index.html


In South Korea, the proportion of (apparently recovered) cases that retest positive is low -- of the 7,829 people who have recovered from coronavirus there, 2.1% retested positive, the KCDC said Friday. It is not clear how many of the people who have recovered have been tested again.
But patients retesting positive is still a concern around the world, including in countries like South Korea where authorities appear to have brought the outbreak under control.
KCDC deputy director Kwon Joon-wook said that so far, there's no indication that patients who retest positive are contagious, even though about 44% of them showed mild symptoms. But he cautioned there is still a lot scientists don't know about the virus, including the issue of naturally acquired immunity.
For now, the most likely explanation of why people are retesting positive seems to be that the test is picking up remnants of the virus. There are other theories for why patients may be retesting positive: there might be an error with the test, or the virus could have been reactivated.
Kwon says there is no evidence so far of a person who has retested positive being infectious, adding: "At the moment, we think that there is no danger of further secondary or tertiary transmission." (but) After coronavirus patients are declared recovered, the KCDC recomends two more weeks of self-isolation.
The number of recovered patients who have retested positive for the virus has raised concerns about how antibodies work in response to Covid-19.
The KCDC plans to test 400 specimens from people who have been infected and recovered to see how much -- if any -- immunity having Covid-19 might give people. Kwon says those tests may take several weeks.
In the end, Kwon said, it comes down to this: "We don't know much about Covid-19."

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 7:26 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-04-18-20-
intl/h_e0d2a136beef210445661ea9cce09f53


WHO says no evidence antibody tests can determine immunity



Now, this is CNN, not always known for subtly and completeness, quoting WHO, not always known for timeliness. But WHO is raising an important point that there's been no link made yet between antibodies and immunity.

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 7:33 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


WaPo:

As U.S. coronavirus fatality rate rises to 5%, experts are trying to grasp how deadly virus is

By Chris Mooney, Juliet Eilperin and Joel Achenbach

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 12:07 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
WaPo:

As U.S. coronavirus fatality rate rises to 5%




Nope.

https://abcnews.go.com/Health/antibody-research-coronavirus-widespread
/story?id=70206121




Meanwhile, WaPo's owner Jeff Bezos' online empire is doing wonderfully amid the manufactured Coomph Mania.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 12:12 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-04-18-20-
intl/h_e0d2a136beef210445661ea9cce09f53


WHO says no evidence antibody tests can determine immunity



Now, this is CNN, not always known for subtly and completeness, quoting WHO, not always known for timeliness. But WHO is raising an important point that there's been no link made yet between antibodies and immunity.




CNN is an agenda driven hyper-partisan hack job, according to Cuomo's brother who hates working there. They haven't dealt in actual objective journalism in decades.

The WHO is a Chinese shill outfit and propagators of a Liberal Globalist Agenda. Their US funding has been temporarily shut off, and it is hoped that we never resume giving money to them again.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 12:55 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


lol

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 1:29 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


I agree. All of that is funny, despite it being true.

Which part made you laugh, Karen?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 3:09 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
I agree. All of that is funny, despite it being true.

Which part made you laugh, Karen?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

SIXSTRINGSHIT- why don't you just call KIKI a "Russian troll" and turn into a GSTRING?

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 3:17 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
I agree. All of that is funny, despite it being true.

Which part made you laugh, Karen?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

SIXSTRINGSHIT- why don't you just call KIKI a "Russian troll" and turn into a GSTRING?

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK



Too late. I already did.

She should probably stop spouting fear mongering propaganda that is enabling a shift of our government toward Communism.

She only believes the numbers that show worst case scenario and throws out any that destroys her agenda.

I had no idea that I was friendly with hostile agent Karen this whole time.



Second praises Communist tactics because he's an idiot and probably isn't even aware that he's doing it. Karen is not an idiot.

GString might have been right about her all this time.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, April 18, 2020 3:50 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Too late. I already did.

She should probably stop spouting fear mongering propaganda that is enabling a shift of our government toward Communism.

She only believes the numbers that show worst case scenario and throws out any that destroys her agenda.

I had no idea that I was friendly with hostile agent Karen this whole time.



Second praises Communist tactics because he's an idiot and probably isn't even aware that he's doing it. Karen is not an idiot.

GString might have been right about her all this time.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

6ix, what you are doing is called Red-baiting. Republicans have been doing it since before your parents were born: "As the Cold War heated up in the years following World War II, liberal political candidates were frequently accused of being either Communists or at the very least sympathetic to the Communist Party." - www.jstor.org/stable/43264751?seq=1

Trump's lawyer, Roy Cohn, was a famous Red-baiting Republican who worked with the ultimate Red-baiting Republican, Senator Joe McCarthy. Red-baiting is in the DNA of Republicans. It is a habit of theirs very much like dogs eating poop. You dogs do it, but to humans it is disgusting.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_McCarthy#Army%E2%80%93McCarthy_he
arings


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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